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Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

We propose a general framework for solving statistical mechanics of systems with finite size. The approach extends the celebrated variational mean-field approaches using autoregressive neural networks, which support direct sampling and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-10 Dian Wu , Lei Wang , Pan Zhang

We study the inverse optimal control problem in social sciences: we aim at learning a user's true cost function from the observed temporal behavior. In contrast to traditional phenomenological works that aim to learn a generative model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Yichen Wang , Le Song , Hongyuan Zha

Machine learning techniques not only offer efficient tools for modelling dynamical systems from data, but can also be employed as frontline investigative instruments for the underlying physics. Nontrivial information about the original…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-24 Francesco Borra , Marco Baldovin

We consider Bayesian inference in inverse regression problems where the objective is to infer about unobserved covariates from observed responses and covariates. We establish posterior consistency of such unobserved covariates in Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Living organisms exhibit remarkable adaptations across all scales, from molecules to ecosystems. We believe that many of these adaptations correspond to optimal solutions driven by evolution, training, and underlying physical and chemical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-17 Julio R. Banga , Sebastian Sager

Integrative analysis of data from multiple sources is critical to making generalizable discoveries. Associations that are consistently observed across multiple source populations are more likely to be generalized to target populations with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Zijian Guo

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

Despite the remarkable empirical success of score-based diffusion models, their statistical guarantees remain underdeveloped. Existing analyses often provide pessimistic convergence rates that do not reflect the intrinsic low-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Quentin Berthet , Peter L. Bartlett

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

Score-based diffusion models learn to reverse a stochastic differential equation that maps data to noise. However, for complex tasks, numerical error can compound and result in highly unnatural samples. Previous work mitigates this drift…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-12 Aaron Lou , Stefano Ermon

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Engineered infrastructure systems pose inverse problems in which hidden states, unknown parameters, and subsystem couplings must be inferred from sparse and noisy measurements. These problems are difficult because physical subsystems are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-28 Esmaeil Ghorbani , Jürgen Hackl

Inverse design, where we seek to design input variables in order to optimize an underlying objective function, is an important problem that arises across fields such as mechanical engineering to aerospace engineering. Inverse design is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Tailin Wu , Takashi Maruyama , Long Wei , Tao Zhang , Yilun Du , Gianluca Iaccarino , Jure Leskovec

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

Gene and protein networks are very important to model complex large-scale systems in molecular biology. Inferring or reverseengineering such networks can be defined as the process of identifying gene/protein interactions from experimental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Stefano Beretta , Mauro Castelli , Ivo Goncalves , Ivan Merelli , Daniele Ramazzotti

Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-19 S. Andreon

We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

The sparse structure of the solution for an inverse problem can be modelled using different sparsity enforcing priors when the Bayesian approach is considered. Analytical expression for the unknowns of the model can be obtained by building…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-31 Mircea Dumitru