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Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Electricity load peak forecasting (ELPF), simultaneously predicting peak timing and intensity, is a prerequisite for effective grid scheduling and risk management. However, existing methods face three limitations. First, they adopt a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Wangzhi Yu , Peng Zhu , Qing Zhao , Yiwen Jiang , Dawei Cheng

Planning energy production is a challenging task due to its cost-sensitivity, fast-moving energy markets, uncertainties in demand, and technical constraints of power plants. Thus, more complex models of this so-called \emph{unit commitment…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-07 Pascal Halffmann , Patrick Holzer , Kai Plociennik , Michael Trebing

An increasing number of software companies have already realized the importance of storing project-related data as valuable sources of information for training prediction models. Such kind of modeling opens the door for the implementation…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Victor Uc-Cetina

In machine learning, uncertainty quantification helps assess the reliability of model predictions, which is important in high-stakes scenarios. Traditional approaches often emphasize predictive accuracy, but there is a growing focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jake S. Rhodes , Scott D. Brown , J. Riley Wilkinson

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Accurately forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) is essential for designing climate strategies that balance economic growth with environmental objectives. Elevated CPU levels can delay regulatory implementation, hinder investment in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Donia Besher , Anirban Sengupta , Tanujit Chakraborty

Deploying deep learning models in safety-critical applications remains a very challenging task, mandating the provision of assurances for the dependable operation of these models. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods estimate the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Daniel Bethell , Simos Gerasimou , Radu Calinescu

For a given causal question, it is important to efficiently decide which causal inference method to use for a given dataset. This is challenging because causal methods typically rely on complex and difficult-to-verify assumptions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Shantanu Gupta , Cheng Zhang , Agrin Hilmkil

As they play an increasingly important role in determining access to credit, credit scoring models are under growing scrutiny from banking supervisors and internal model validators. These authorities need to monitor the model performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Hué Sullivan , Hurlin Christophe , Pérignon Christophe , Saurin Sébastien

Several companies and research institutes are moving their CPU-intensive applications to hybrid High Performance Computing (HPC) cloud environments. Such a shift depends on the creation of software systems that help users decide where a job…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Renato L. F. Cunha , Eduardo R. Rodrigues , Leonardo P. Tizzei , Marco A. S. Netto

Inferences about hypotheses are ubiquitous in the cognitive sciences. Bayes factors provide one general way to compare different hypotheses by their compatibility with the observed data. Those quantifications can then also be used to choose…

Predictive models for human mobility have important applications in many fields such as traffic control, ubiquitous computing and contextual advertisement. The predictive performance of models in literature varies quite broadly, from as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Andrea Cuttone , Sune Lehmann , Marta C. González

Optimization problems with both control variables and environmental variables arise in many fields. This paper introduces a framework of personalized optimization to han- dle such problems. Unlike traditional robust optimization,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-07 Shifeng Xiong

As an intrinsic and fundamental property of big data, data heterogeneity exists in a variety of real-world applications, such as precision medicine, autonomous driving, financial applications, etc. For machine learning algorithms, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Jiashuo Liu , Jiayun Wu , Bo Li , Peng Cui

To deal with the complexity of the new bigger and more complex generation of data, machine learning (ML) techniques are probably the first and foremost used. For ML algorithms to produce results in a reasonable amount of time, they need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Imen Chakroun , Tom Vander Aa , Thomas J. Ashby

In modern distributed systems, efficient resource allocation is a vital aspect to maintain scalability, reduce operational costs, and ensure fast execution even across heterogeneous workloads. Predictive models for resource usage are…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Jonathan Bader , Edgar Blumenthal , Marten Eckardt , Justus Krebs , Joel Witzke , Xemena Wysokinska , Haci Ismail Aslan , Odej Kao

Development effort is an undeniable part of the project management which considerably influences the success of project. Inaccurate and unreliable estimation of effort can easily lead to the failure of project. Due to the special…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-09-13 Elham Khatibi , Roliana Ibrahim

Data centers are significant contributors to carbon emissions and can strain power systems due to their high electricity consumption. To mitigate this impact and to participate in demand response programs, cloud computing companies strive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-29 Sophie Hall , Francesco Micheli , Giuseppe Belgioioso , Ana Radovanović , Florian Dörfler

Conformal Prediction (CP) has emerged as a powerful statistical framework for high-stakes classification applications. Instead of predicting a single class, CP generates a prediction set, guaranteed to include the true label with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Ariel Fargion , Lahav Dabah , Tom Tirer