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We study equilibrium distancing during epidemics. Distancing reduces the individual's probability of getting infected but comes at a cost. It creates a single-peaked epidemic, flattens the curve and decreases the size of the epidemic. We…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-02 Satoshi Fukuda , Nenad Kos , Christoph Wolf

What is the long term dynamics of the Covid-19 pandemic? How will it end? Here we constructed an infectious disease model with testing and analyzed the existence and stability of its endemic states. For a large parameter set, including…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Bo Deng , Chayu Yang

Infectious diseases often involve multiple strains that interact through the immune response generated after an infection. This study investigates the conditions under which a two-strain epidemic model with partial cross-immunity can lead…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-11 Nir Gavish

The COVID-19 pandemic led to widespread interest in epidemiological models. In this context the role of vaccination in influencing the spreading of the disease is of particular interest. There has also been a lot of debate on the role of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Aytül Gökçe , Burcu Gürbüz , Alan D. Rendall

We use a multitype continuous time Markov branching process model to describe the dynamics of the spread of parasites of two types that can mutate into each other in a common host population. Instead of using a single virulence…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Konstantin Borovkov , Robert Day , Timothy Rice

We investigate a diffusive, stage-structured epidemic model with the maturation delay and freely-moving delay. Choosing delays and diffusive rates as bifurcation parameters, the only possible way to destabilize the endemic equilibrium is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-25 Yanfei Du , Ben Niu , Junjie Wei

We introduce and analyze coupled, multi-strain epidemic models designed to simulate the emergence and dissemination of mutant (e.g. drug-resistant) pathogen strains. In particular, we investigate the mathematical and biological properties…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-10 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , James M. Trauer , Emma S. McBryde

The evolutionary effect of recombination depends crucially on the epistatic interactions between linked loci. A paradigmatic case where recombination is known to be strongly disadvantageous is a two-locus fitness landscape dis- playing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-13 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug

In this paper we consider the stability of a class of deterministic and stochastic SEIRS epidemic models with delay. Indeed, we assume that the transmission rate could be stochastic and the presence of a latency period of $r$ consecutive…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-22 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

We study a coupled epidemic-mobility model in which, at each time, individuals move in a network of spatially-distributed regions (sub-populations) according to a Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) and subsequently interact with the local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-30 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

This paper deals with the stability analysis for steady-states perturbed by the full cross-diffusion limit of the SKT model with Dirichlet boundary conditions. Our previous result showed that positive steady-states consist of the branch of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Kousuke Kuto , Homare Sato

We present a systematic comparison and analysis of four discrete-time, host--parasitoid models. For each model, we specify that density-dependent effects occur prior to parasitism in the life cycle of the host. We compare density-dependent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-23 Kelsey Marcinko , Mark Kot

We study the interplay of population growth and evolutionary dynamics using a stochastic model based on birth and death events. In contrast to the common assumption of an independent population size, evolution can be strongly affected by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-05 Jonas Cremer , Anna Melbinger , Erwin Frey

In this paper, a mathematical model of pneumococcal pneumonia with time delays is proposed. The stability theory of delay differential equations is used to analyze the model. The results show that the disease-free equilibrium is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-16 Fulgensia Kamugisha Mbabazi , Joseph Y. T. Mugisha , Mark Kimathi

We study a bi-virus susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model in which individuals are either susceptible or infected with one of two virus strains, and consider mutation-driven transitions between strains. The general case of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-03 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Zhi-An Wang

Complex contagion models that involve contagion along higher-order structures, such as simplicial complexes and hypergraphs, yield new classes of mean-field models. Interestingly, the differential equations arising from many such models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Christian Bick , Péter L. Simon

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman