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The study examines the relationship between mobile financial services and individual financial behavior in India wherein a sizeable population is yet to be financially included. Addressing the endogeneity associated with the use of mobile…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-16 Shreya Biswas

Credit Scores are ubiquitous and instrumental for loan providers and regulators. In this paper we showcase how micro-loan credit system can be developed in real setting. We show what challenges arise and discuss solutions. Particularly, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Nikolay Dubina , Dasom Kang , Alex Suh

Recent developments in the global liberalization of equity and currency markets, coupled to advances in trading technologies, are making markets increasingly interdependent. This increased fluidity raises questions about the stability of…

adap-org · Physics 2019-08-15 Tad Hogg , Bernardo A. Huberman , Michael Youssefmir

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Joung-Hun Lee , Marko Jusup , Boris Podobnik , Yoh Iwasa

Traditionally, the impact of minimum wages on employment has been studied, and it is generally believed to have a negative effect. Yet, some recent studies have shown that the impact of minimum wages on employment can sometimes be positive.…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-12 Asahi Sato

We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time-homogeneous Markov chain.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-25 Michael Kalkbrener , Natalie Packham

The Covid-19 pandemic has led to the rise of remote work with consequences for the global division of work. Remote work could connect labour markets, but it could also increase spatial polarisation. However, our understanding of the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-15 Fabian Braesemann , Fabian Stephany , Ole Teutloff , Otto Kässi , Mark Graham , Vili Lehdonvirta

We develop a labor demand model that encompasses pre-match hiring cost arising from tight labor markets. Through the lens of the model, we study the effect of labor market tightness on firms' labor demand by applying novel shift-share…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Mario Bossler , Martin Popp

How should central banks optimally aggregate sectoral inflation rates in the presence of imperfect labor mobility across sectors? We study this issue in a two-sector New-Keynesian model and show that a lower degree of sectoral labor…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Alessandro Cantelmo , Giovanni Melina

Immigration is often blamed for increasing unemployment among local workers. This sentiment is reflected in the rise of anti-immigration parties and policies in Western democracies. And in fact, numerous studies estimate that in the short…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-11 Pascal Michaillat

Can uncertainty about credit availability trigger a slowdown in real activity? This question is answered by using a novel method to identify shocks to uncertainty in access to credit. Time-variation in uncertainty about credit availability…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-01 Pratiti Chatterjee , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

A financial market is a system resulting from the complex interaction between participants in a closed economy. We propose a minimal microscopic model of the financial market economy based on the real economy's symmetry constraint and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-15 Liu Ziyin , Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami

In the rapidly evolving field of multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), understanding the dynamics of open systems is crucial. Openness in MARL refers to the dynam-ic nature of agent populations, tasks, and agent types with-in a system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Alireza Saleh Abadi , Leen-Kiat Soh

We study a simple, solvable model that allows us to investigate effects of credit contagion on the default probability of individual firms, in both portfolios of firms and on an economy wide scale. While the effect of interactions may be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

Reinforcement learning for multi-step reasoning with large language models (LLMs) typically relies on sparse terminal rewards, which creates a poorly conditioned credit-assignment problem: the final feedback is propagated uniformly across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Fei Ding , Yongkang Zhang , Youwei Wang , Zijian Zeng

As financial institutions increasingly rely on machine learning models to automate lending decisions, concerns about algorithmic fairness have risen. This paper explores the tradeoff between enforcing fairness constraints (such as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Aayam Bansal

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes hiring applications, making decisions that directly impact people's careers and livelihoods. While prior studies suggest simple anti-bias prompts can eliminate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Adam Karvonen , Samuel Marks

The employment status of billions of people has been affected by the COVID epidemic around the Globe. New evidence is needed on how to mitigate the job market crisis, but there exists only a handful of studies mostly focusing on developed…

General Economics · Economics 2020-08-03 Tymofii Brik , Maksym Obrizan

Many transfer problems require re-using previously optimal decisions for solving new tasks, which suggests the need for learning algorithms that can modify the mechanisms for choosing certain actions independently of those for choosing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Michael Chang , Sidhant Kaushik , Sergey Levine , Thomas L. Griffiths
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