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This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

We present an implementation of Quantum Computing for a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with an application to cosmological functions, to derive posterior distributions from cosmological probes. The algorithm proposes new steps in the…

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Single-site Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a variant of MCMC in which a single coordinate in the state space is modified in each step. Structured relational models are a good candidate for this style of inference. In the single-site…

In this work we propose a hierarchy of Monte Carlo methods for sampling equilibrium properties of stochastic lattice systems with competing short and long range interactions. Each Monte Carlo step is composed by two or more sub - steps…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G Vlachos

Variational Monte Carlo is a many-body numerical method that scales well with system size. It has been extended to study the Green function only recently by Charlebois and Imada (2020). Here we generalize the approach to systems with open…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-12-20 P. Rosenberg , D. Sénéchal , A. -M. S. Tremblay , M. Charlebois

Delayed-acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC) samples from a probability distribution via a two-stages version of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, by combining the target distribution with a "surrogate" (i.e. an approximate and…

Diagrammatic Monte Carlo approach is applied to a problem of a single spin-down fermion resonantly interacting with the sea of ideal spin-up fermions. On one hand, we develop a generic, sign-problem tolerant, method of exact numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Nikolay Prokof'ev , Boris Svistunov

From basic considerations of the Lie group that preserves a target probability measure, we derive the Barker, Metropolis, and ensemble Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, as well as variants of waste-recycling Metropolis-Hastings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Steve Huntsman

Multiproposal MCMC (MP-MCMC) algorithms use clouds of proposals to efficiently traverse state spaces and overcome complex target geometries. While MCMC methods are embarrassingly parallel by nature, the non-trivial forms of parallelism…

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

A new algorithm for Monte Carlo calculation of the double exchange model is studied. The algorithm is commonly applicable to wide classes of strongly correlated electron systems which involve itinerant electrons coupled with…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-11-07 Nobuo Furukawa , Yukitoshi Motome , Hisaho Nakata

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

We introduce Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms based on numerical approximations of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes obtained with the framework of splitting schemes. We present unadjusted as well as adjusted algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Andrea Bertazzi , Paul Dobson , Pierre Monmarché

By adopting a Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework, we show that only a handful of costly fine scale computations are needed to accurately estimate statistics of the failure of a composite structure, as opposed to the thousands typically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-25 T. J. Dodwell , S. Kinston , R. Butler , R. T. Haftka , Nam H. Kim , R. Scheichl

Monte Carlo is a versatile and frequently used tool in statistical physics and beyond. Correspondingly, the number of algorithms and variants reported in the literature is vast, and an overview is not easy to achieve. In this pedagogical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-04 Michael Kastner

Counterfactual explanations constitute among the most popular methods for analyzing black-box systems since they can recommend cost-efficient and actionable changes to the input of a system to obtain the desired system output. While most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 André Artelt , Andreas Gregoriades

Global optimization is an active area of research in atomistic simulations, and many algorithms have been proposed to date. A prominent example is basin hopping Monte Carlo, which performs a modified Metropolis Monte Carlo search to explore…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-02-04 Martín Leandro Paleico , Jörg Behler

Due to the intrinsic complexity of the quantum many-body problem, quantum Monte Carlo algorithms and their corresponding Monte Carlo configurations can be defined in various ways. Configurations corresponding to few Feynman diagrams often…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-04-30 Alexander Kowalski , Andreas Hausoel , Markus Wallerberger , Patrik Gunacker , Giorgio Sangiovanni

In low-temperature high-density plasmas quantum effects of the electrons are becoming increasingly important. This requires the development of new theoretical and computational tools. Quantum Monte Carlo methods are among the most…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-12 T. Schoof , S. Groth , M. Bonitz