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We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

Graph deep learning methods have become popular tools to process collections of correlated time series. Unlike traditional multivariate forecasting methods, graph-based predictors leverage pairwise relationships by conditioning forecasts on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

We present a structured neural network architecture that is inspired by linear time-varying dynamical systems. The network is designed to mimic the properties of linear dynamical systems which makes analysis and control simple. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-06 Alexander Broad , Ian Abraham , Todd Murphey , Brenna Argall

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

The compositional generalization abilities of neural models have been sought after for human-like linguistic competence. The popular method to evaluate such abilities is to assess the models' input-output behavior. However, that does not…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Ryoma Kumon , Hitomi Yanaka

Systematic Generalization refers to a learning algorithm's ability to extrapolate learned behavior to unseen situations that are distinct but semantically similar to its training data. As shown in recent work, state-of-the-art deep learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Tong Gao , Qi Huang , Raymond J. Mooney

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have become compelling models designed to perform learning and inference on graph-structured data. However, little work has been done to understand the fundamental limitations of GNNs for scaling to larger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Hyungeun Lee , Kijung Yoon

Temporal domain generalization is a promising yet extremely challenging area where the goal is to learn models under temporally changing data distributions and generalize to unseen data distributions following the trends of the change. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Guangji Bai , Chen Ling , Liang Zhao

Time series modeling techniques based on deep learning have seen many advancements in recent years, especially in data-abundant settings and with the central aim of learning global models that can extract patterns across multiple time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Stephan Rabanser , Tim Januschowski , Valentin Flunkert , David Salinas , Jan Gasthaus

Model-based methods are the dominant paradigm for controlling robotic systems, though their efficacy depends heavily on the accuracy of the model used. Deep neural networks have been used to learn models of robot dynamics from data, but…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Jayesh K. Gupta , Kunal Menda , Zachary Manchester , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks have shown to be effective in time series forecasting applications, achieving better performance than standard univariate predictors in several settings. These architectures take advantage of a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Machine learning traditionally assumes that the training and testing data are distributed independently and identically. However, in many real-world settings, the data distribution can shift over time, leading to poor generalization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Sepidehsadat Hosseini , Mengyao Zhai , Hossein Hajimirsadegh , Frederick Tung

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

In the sequential decision making setting, an agent aims to achieve systematic generalization over a large, possibly infinite, set of environments. Such environments are modeled as discrete Markov decision processes with both states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Mirco Mutti , Riccardo De Santi , Emanuele Rossi , Juan Felipe Calderon , Michael Bronstein , Marcello Restelli

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

We introduce Neural Dynamical Systems (NDS), a method of learning dynamical models in various gray-box settings which incorporates prior knowledge in the form of systems of ordinary differential equations. NDS uses neural networks to…

After a neural sequence model encounters an unexpected token, can its behavior be predicted? We show that RNN and transformer language models exhibit structured, consistent generalization in out-of-distribution contexts. We begin by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Anthony Bau , Jacob Andreas

Effective control requires knowledge of the process dynamics to guide the system toward desired states. In many control applications this knowledge is expressed mathematically or through data-driven models, however, as complexity grows…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-24 Joseph Park , George Sugihara , Gerald Pao

Modular neural networks outperform nonmodular neural networks on tasks ranging from visual question answering to robotics. These performance improvements are thought to be due to modular networks' superior ability to model the compositional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Akhilan Boopathy , Sunshine Jiang , William Yue , Jaedong Hwang , Abhiram Iyer , Ila Fiete