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Design and control of autonomous systems that operate in uncertain or adversarial environments can be facilitated by formal modelling and analysis. Probabilistic model checking is a technique to automatically verify, for a given temporal…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Marta Kwiatkowska , Gethin Norman , David Parker

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We present ABIDES-Economist, an agent-based simulator for economic systems that includes heterogeneous households, firms, a central bank, and a government. Agent behavior can be defined using domain-specific behavioral rules or learned…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Kshama Dwarakanath , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

In this paper we present a computational modeling account of an active self in artificial agents. In particular we focus on how an agent can be equipped with a sense of control and how it arises in autonomous situated action and, in turn,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Sebastian Kahl , Sebastian Wiese , Nele Russwinkel , Stefan Kopp

Agent-based models provide a flexible framework that is frequently used for modelling many biological systems, including cell migration, molecular dynamics, ecology, and epidemiology. Analysis of the model dynamics can be challenging due to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-28 John T. Nardini , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson , Kevin B. Flores

Simulation-based optimization using agent-based models is typically carried out under the assumption that the gradient describing the sensitivity of the simulation output to the input cannot be evaluated directly. To still apply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Philipp Andelfinger

Stochastic resetting, the procedure of stopping and re-initializing random processes, has recently emerged as a powerful tool for accelerating processes ranging from queuing systems to molecular simulations. However, its usefulness is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-18 Tommer D. Keidar , Ofir Blumer , Barak Hirshberg , Shlomi Reuveni

Dynamic inference problems in autoregressive (AR/ARMA/ARIMA), exponential smoothing, and navigation are often formulated and solved using state-space models (SSM), which allow a range of statistical distributions to inform innovations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jonathan Jonker , Peng Zheng , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

We consider the problem of distributedly estimating Gaussian processes in multi-agent frameworks. Each agent collects few measurements and aims to collaboratively reconstruct a common estimate based on all data. Agents are assumed with…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato , Damiano Varagnolo

The increasing difficulties in financing the welfare state and in particular public retirement pensions have been one of the outcomes both of the decrease of fertility and birth rates combined with the increase of life expectancy. The…

General Economics · Economics 2019-09-20 Sérgio Bacelar , Luis Antunes

Social-ecological systems research aims to understand the nature of social-ecological phenomena, to find ways to foster or manage conditions under which desired phenomena occur or to reduce the negative consequences of undesirable…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Sonja Radosavljevic , Udita Sanga , Maja Schlüter

We propose and study the integration of sentiment analysis and deep reinforcement learning ensemble algorithms for stock trading by evaluating strategies capable of dynamically altering their active agent given the concurrent market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-21 Andrew Ye , James Xu , Vidyut Veedgav , Yi Wang , Yifan Yu , Daniel Yan , Ryan Chen , Vipin Chaudhary , Shuai Xu

The practical utility of agent-based models in decision-making relies on their capacity to accurately replicate populations while seamlessly integrating real-world data streams. Yet, the incorporation of such data poses significant…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Ayush Chopra , Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Nurullah Giray-Kuru , Michael Wooldridge , Ramesh Raskar

We introduce the simulation tool SABCEMM (Simulator for Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models) for agent-based computational economic market (ABCEM) models. Our simulation tool is implemented in C++ and we can easily run ABCEM…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-11 Torsten Trimborn , Philipp Otte , Simon Cramer , Max Beikirch , Emma Pabich , Martin Frank

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Traditional notions of production function do not consider the time dimension, appearing thus timeless and instantaneous. We propose an agent-based model accounting for the whole production side of the economy to unfold the production…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-14 Jack Birner , Marco Mazzoli , Eleonora Priori , Pietro Terna

Agent Based Modeling (ABM) has become a widespread approach to model complex interactions. In this chapter after briefly summarizing some features of ABM the different approaches in modeling spatial interactions are discussed. It is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-06 Marcel Ausloos , Herbert Dawid , Ugo Merlone

The paper provides an introduction to agent-based modelling and simulation of social processes. Reader is introduced to the worldview underlying agent-based models, some basic terminology, basic properties of agent-based models, as well as…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Armano Srbljinovic , Ognjen Skunca

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

This paper offers a survey of uppaalsmc, a major extension of the real-time verification tool uppaal. uppaalsmc allows for the efficient analysis of performance properties of networks of priced timed automata under a natural stochastic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-07-06 Peter Bulychev , Alexandre David , Kim Gulstrand Larsen , Marius Mikučionis , Danny Bøgsted Poulsen , Axel Legay , Zheng Wang