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Flight delays are a significant challenge in the aviation industry, causing major financial and operational disruptions. To improve passenger experience and reduce revenue loss, flight delay prediction models must be both precise and…

Model ensembles are effective tools for estimating prediction uncertainty in deep learning atomistic force fields. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by high computational costs and overconfident error estimates. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Joshua A. Vita , Amit Samanta , Fei Zhou , Vincenzo Lordi

Due to the computational complexity of evaluating interatomic forces from first principles, the creation of interatomic machine learning force fields has become a highly active field of research. However, the generation of training datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Tim Rensmeyer , Denis Kramer , Oliver Niggemann

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Public transportation systems often suffer from unexpected fluctuations in demand and disruptions, such as mechanical failures and medical emergencies. These fluctuations and disruptions lead to delays and overcrowding, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Chaeeun Han , Jose Paolo Talusan , Dan Freudberg , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Abhishek Dubey , Aron Laszka

The critical task of inferring anomalous cross-field transport coefficients is addressed in simulations of boundary plasmas with fluid models. A workflow for parameter inference in the UEDGE fluid code is developed using Bayesian…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-07-09 Yichen Fu , Ben Dudson , Xiao Chen , Maxim Umansky , Filippo Scotti , Tom Rognlien , Anthony Leonard

Bike-sharing systems are a rapidly developing mode of transportation and provide an efficient alternative to passive, motorized personal mobility. The asymmetric nature of bike demand causes the need for rebalancing bike stations, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Daniele Gammelli , Yihua Wang , Dennis Prak , Filipe Rodrigues , Stefan Minner , Francisco Camara Pereira

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), also known as drones, have gained popularity in various fields such as agriculture, emergency response, and search and rescue operations. UAV networks are susceptible to several security threats, such as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Keiwan Soltani , Federico Corò , Punyasha Chatterjee , Sajal K. Das

Achieving both safety guarantees and real-time performance in cooperative vehicle coordination remains a fundamental challenge, particularly in dynamic and uncertain environments. Existing methods often suffer from insufficient uncertainty…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Haojie Bai , Tingting Zhang , Cong Guo , Yang Wang , Xiongwei Zhao , Hai Zhu

The Cloud infrastructure offers to end users a broad set of heterogenous computational resources using the pay-as-you-go model. These virtualized resources can be provisioned using different pricing models like the unreliable model where…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Panagiotis Oikonomou , Kostas Kolomvatsos , Nikos Tziritas , Georgios Theodoropoulos , Thanasis Loukopoulos , Georgios Stamoulis

In this paper, we propose a novel framework of air traffic management (ATM). The framework is in particular characterized by the trajectory planning of weakly supervised aircraft; the air traffic control (ATC) does not completely determine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-01 Sho Yoshimura , Masaki Inoue

Recurrent neural network based solutions are increasingly being used in the analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record data. However, most works focus on prediction accuracy and neglect prediction uncertainty. We propose Deep Kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Peter A. Fasching , Volker Tresp

Bilateral teleoperation of low-speed Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs) on soft terrains is crucial for applications like lunar exploration, offering effective control of terrain-induced longitudinal slippage. However, latency arising from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-27 Ahmad Abubakar , Yahya Zweiri , AbdelGafoor Haddad , Mubarak Yakubu , Ruqayya Alhammadi , Lakmal Seneviratne

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Aeroelastic structures, from insect wings to wind turbine blades, experience transient unsteady aerodynamic loads that are coupled to their motion. Effective real-time control of flexible structures relies on accurate and efficient…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-07-14 Michelle Hickner , Urban Fasel , Aditya G. Nair , Bingni W. Brunton , Steven L. Brunton

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Distributed management over Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) based communication networks (UCNs) has attracted increasing research attention. In this work, we study a distributed user connectivity maximization problem in a UCN. The work…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Bowei Li , Saugat Tripathi , Salman Hosain , Ran Zhang , Jiang , Xie , Miao Wang