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We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

In this article, we derive Stein's method for approximating a spatial random graph by a generalised random geometric graph, which has vertices given by a finite Gibbs point process and edges based on a general connection function. Our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Dominic Schuhmacher , Leoni Carla Wirth

Applying an inductive technique for Stein and zero bias couplings yields Berry-Esseen theorems for normal approximation for two new examples. The conditions of the main results do not require that the couplings be bounded. Our two…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Louis H. Y. Chen , Larry Goldstein , Adrian Röllin

We develop a variant of Stein's method of comparison of generators to bound the Kolmogorov, total variation, and Wasserstein-1 distances between distributions on the real line. Our discrepancy is expressed in terms of the ratio of reverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Paul Mansanarez , Guillaume Poly , Yvik Swan

Monge-Kantorovich distances, otherwise known as Wasserstein distances, have received a growing attention in statistics and machine learning as a powerful discrepancy measure for probability distributions. In this paper, we focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-30 François Bachoc , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Nil Venet

We generalize the maximum likelihood method to non-Gaussian distribution functions by means of the multivariate Edgeworth expansion. We stress the potential interest of this technique in all those cosmological problems in which the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Luca Amendola

In several recent works on infinite-dimensional systems of ODEs \cite{cao_derivation_2021,cao_explicit_2021,cao_iterative_2024,cao_sticky_2024}, which arise from the mean-field limit of agent-based models in economics and social sciences…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Fei Cao

This work presents a non-parametric estimator for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the job-size distribution for a queue with compound Poisson input. The workload process is observed according to an independent Poisson sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Liron Ravner

The paper is concerned with approximating the distribution of a sum W of n integer valued random variables Y_i, whose distributions depend on the state of an underlying Markov chain X. The approximation is in terms of a translated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 A. D. Barbour , Torgny Lindvall

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

We consider additive functionals of systems of random measures whose initial configuration is given by a Poisson point process, and whose individual components evolve according to arbitrary Markovian or non-Markovian measure valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Arturo Jaramillo , Antonio Murillo-Salas

We show that the distribution of self-normalized sums of free self-adjoint random variables converges weakly to Wigner's semicircle law under appropriate conditions and estimate the rate of convergence in terms of the Kolmogorov distance.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Leonie Neufeld

We present several refinements on the fluctuations of sequences of random vectors (with values in the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$) which converge after normalization to a multidimensional Gaussian distribution. More precisely we refine…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

The curse of dimensionality is a common phenomenon which affects analysis of datasets characterized by large numbers of variables associated with each point. Problematic scenarios of this type frequently arise in classification algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Benjamin Thirey , Randal Hickman

The generalised random graph contains $n$ vertices with positive i.i.d. weights. The probability of adding an edge between two vertices is increasing in their weights. We require the weight distribution to have finite second moments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Matthias Lienau

Consider the Erd\H{o}s-Renyi random graph on n vertices where each edge is present independently with probability c/n, with c>0 fixed. For large n, a typical random graph locally behaves like a Galton-Watson tree with Poisson offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo

We propose a safe approximation to joint chance-constrained programming where the constraint functions are additively dependent on a normally-distributed random vector. The approximation is analytical, meaning that it requires neither…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Nan Li , Ilya Kolmanovsky , Anouck Girard

Competing and Complementary risk (CCR) problems are often modelled using a class of distributions of the maximum, or minimum, of a random number of i.i.d. random variables; we call this class the CCR class of distributions. While the CCR…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Anum Fatima , Gesine Reinert
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