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We propose a novel deep learning framework, named SYMHnet, which employs a graph neural network and a bidirectional long short-term memory network to cooperatively learn patterns from solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field parameters…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-28 Yasser Abduallah , Khalid A. Alobaid , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Vania K. Jordanova , Vasyl Yurchyshyn , Huseyin Cavus , Ju Jing

We analyze structure of the world foreign currency exchange (FX) market viewed as a network of interacting currencies. We analyze daily time series of FX data for a set of 63 currencies, including gold, silver and platinum. We group…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Sylwia Gworek , Stanislaw Drozdz , Andrzej Gorski

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

Modelling financial time series as a time change of a simpler process has been proposed in various forms over the years. One of such recent approaches is called volatility homogenisation decomposition, and has been designed specifically to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-01 Paweł Fiedor , Odd Magnus Trondrud

In this paper we apply neural networks and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to historical records of high-risk cryptocurrency coins to train a prediction model that guesses their price. This paper's code contains Jupyter notebooks, one of which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Jacques Fleischer , Gregor von Laszewski , Carlos Theran , Yohn Jairo Parra Bautista

Foreign exchange is the largest financial market in the world, and it is also one of the most volatile markets. Technical analysis plays an important role in the forex market and trading algorithms are designed utilizing machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-24 Zezheng Zhang , Matloob Khushi

Technical traders have long relied on visual analysis of candlestick charts to identify market patterns and predict price movements. While deep learning has achieved remarkable success in image classification, its application to financial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Dustin M. Haggett

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Recent CNN and Transformer-based models tried to utilize frequency and periodicity information for long-term time series forecasting. However, most existing work is based on Fourier transform, which cannot capture fine-grained and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Peiyuan Liu , Beiliang Wu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Fengmao Lei , Jigang Bao , Yong Jiang , Shu-Tao Xia

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

Volatility dynamics of wavelet - filtered stock price time series is studied. Using the universal thresholding method of wavelet filtering and a principle of minimal linear autocorrelation of noise component we find that the quantitative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 I. M. Dremin , A. V. Leonidov

This paper presents static and dynamic versions of univariate, multivariate, and multilevel functional time-series methods to forecast implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets. We find that dynamic functional principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Han Lin Shang , Fearghal Kearney

Recently, deep learning techniques are gradually replacing traditional statistical and machine learning models as the first choice for price forecasting tasks. In this paper, we leverage probabilistic deep learning for inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Héctor J. Hortúa , Andrés Mora-Valencia

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

This letter presents a novel hybrid method that leverages deep learning to exploit the multi-resolution analysis capability of the wavelets, in order to denoise a photoplethysmography (PPG) signal. Under the proposed method, a noisy PPG…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Rabia Ahmed , Ahsan Mehmood , Muhammad Mahboob Ur Rahman , Octavia A. Dobre

World currency network constitutes one of the most complex structures that is associated with the contemporary civilization. On a way towards quantifying its characteristics we study the cross correlations in changes of the daily foreign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , A. Z. Gorski , J. Kwapien

An expanding literature articulates the view that Taylor rules are helpful in predicting exchange rates. In a changing world however, Taylor rule parameters may be subject to structural instabilities, for example during the Global Financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Joseph Byrne , Dimitris Korobilis , Pinho Ribeiro

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Bogdan Oancea , ŞTefan Cristian Ciucu

This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Stephan Schwill

Introduction: The paper addresses the challenging problem of predicting the short-term realized volatility of the Bitcoin price using order flow information. The inherent stochastic nature and anti-persistence of price pose difficulties in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-21 Artem Lensky , Mingyu Hao