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We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf

Lifted Markov chains are Markov chains on graphs with added local "memory" and can be used to mix towards a target distribution faster than their memoryless counterparts. Upper and lower bounds on the achievable performance have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Simon Apers , Francesco Ticozzi , Alain Sarlette

Most work on wireless network throughput ignores the temporal correlation inherent to wireless channels because it degrades tractability. To better model and quantify the temporal variations of wireless network throughput, this paper…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-01 Chun-Hung Liu , Jeffrey G. Andrews

We consider continuous-time random walk models described by arbitrary sojourn time probability density functions. We find a general expression for the distribution of time-averaged observables for such systems, generalizing some recent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-10 Alberto Saa , Roberto Venegeroles

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Many applications in networked control require intermittent access of a controller to a system, as in event-triggered systems or information constrained control applications. Motivated by such applications and extending previous work on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-30 Ramiro Zurkowski , Serdar Yüksel , Tamás Linder

Risk-sensitive control balances performance with resilience to unlikely events in uncertain systems. This paper introduces ergodic-risk criteria, which capture long-term cumulative risks through probabilistic limit theorems. By ensuring the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Shahriar Talebi , Na Li

In this paper, the question of expected time to convergence is addressed for unbiased quantized consensus on undirected connected graphs, and some strong results are obtained. The paper first provides a tight expression for the expected…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Seyed Rasoul Etesami , Tamer Basar

Many systems across the sciences evolve through a combination of multiplicative growth and diffusive transport. In the presence of disorder, these systems tend to form localized structures which alternate between long periods of relative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-19 Matteo Smerlak

Motivated by a derandomization of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), this paper investigates deterministic random walks, which is a deterministic process analogous to a random walk. While there are several progresses on the analysis of the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-08-17 Takeharu Shiraga , Yukiko Yamauchi , Shuji Kijima , Masafumi Yamashita

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

Necessary and sufficient conditions for a Markov chain to be ergodic are that the chain is irreducible and aperiodic. This result is manifest in the case of random walks on finite groups by a statement about the support of the driving…

Quantum Algebra · Mathematics 2021-10-22 J. P. McCarthy

We introduce the notion of common conditional expectation to investigate Birkhoff's ergodic theorem and subadditive ergodic theorem for invariant upper probabilities. If in addition, the upper probability is ergodic, we construct an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Chunrong Feng , Wen Huang , Chunlin Liu , Huaizhong Zhao

As a fundamental thermodynamic principle, speed limits reveal the lower bound of entropy production (EP) required for a system to transition from a given initial state to a final state. While various speed limits have been developed for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-08 Sangyun Lee , Jae Sung Lee , Jong-Min Park

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

The effects of spatial confinements and smooth cutoffs of the waiting time distribution in continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) are studied analytically. We also investigate dependences of ergodic properties on initial ensembles (i.e.,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-27 Tomoshige Miyaguchi , Takuma Akimoto

Ergodicity describes an equivalence between the expectation value and the time average of observables. Applied to human behaviour, ergodic theories of decision-making reveal how individuals should tolerate risk in different environments. To…

In this work, we study a natural nonparametric estimator of the transition probability matrices of a finite controlled Markov chain. We consider an offline setting with a fixed dataset, collected using a so-called logging policy. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Imon Banerjee , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

For both continuous-time and discrete-time Markov Chains, we provide criteria for inverse problems of classical types of ergodicity: (ordinary) erogodicity, algebraic ergodicity, exponential ergodicity and strong ergodicity. Our criteria…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Zhi-Feng Wei

The mixing time of an ergodic, reversible Markov chain can be bounded in terms of the eigenvalues of the chain: specifically, the second-largest eigenvalue and the smallest eigenvalue. It has become standard to focus only on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Catherine Greenhill