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Existing model validation studies in geoscience often disregard or partly account for uncertainties in observations, model choices, and input parameters. In this work, we develop a statistical framework that incorporates a probabilistic…

We consider a class of density-driven flow problems. We are particularly interested in the problem of the salinization of coastal aquifers. We consider the Henry saltwater intrusion problem with uncertain porosity, permeability, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Alexander Litvinenko , Dmitry Logashenko , Raul Tempone , Ekaterina Vasilyeva , Gabriel Wittum

The astounding success of these methods has made it imperative to obtain more explainable and trustworthy estimates from these models. In hydrology, basin characteristics can be noisy or missing, impacting streamflow prediction. For solving…

We propose a structured prior for high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on a disentangled deep generative model whose latent space is partitioned into auxiliary variables aligned with known and interpretable physical parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-03 Arkaprabha Ganguli , Emil Constantinescu

A computational method based on the non-linear Gaussian process (GP), known as deep Gaussian processes (deep GPs) for uncertainty quantification & propagation in modelling of flow through heterogeneous porous media is presented. The method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 A. Daneshkhah , O. Chatrabgoun , M. Esmaeilbeigi , T. Sedighi , S. Abolfathi

Uncertainty quantification plays an important role in achieving trustworthy and reliable learning-based computational imaging. Recent advances in generative modeling and Bayesian neural networks have enabled the development of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

Machine learning of multi-dimensional potential energy surfaces, from purely ab initio datasets, has seen substantial progress in the past years. Gaussian processes, a popular regression method, have been very successful at producing…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-01-11 Fabio E. A. Albertani , Alex J. W. Thom

We present a Bayesian framework for reconstruction of subsurface hydraulic properties from nonlinear dynamic flow data by imposing sparsity on the distribution of the solution coefficients in a compression transform domain.

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Lianlin Li , Behnam Jafarpour

Full-waveform inversion (FWI) is a powerful geophysical imaging technique that infers high-resolution subsurface physical parameters by solving a non-convex optimization problem. However, due to limitations in observation, e.g., limited…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Xiong-Bin Yan , Keke Wu , Zhi-Qin John Xu , Zheng Ma

Non-invasive surface wave methods have become a popular alternative to traditional invasive forms of site-characterization for inferring a site's subsurface shear wave velocity (Vs) structure. The advantage of surface wave methods over…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-06 Joseph P. Vantassel , Brady R. Cox

Solving high-dimensional PDE-governed inverse problems is often challenging due to complex non-Gaussian posterior distributions, expensive forward model evaluations, and misspecified prior information. To address these issues, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yueyang Wang , Xili Wang , Kejun Tang , Xiaoliang Wan , Tao Zhou , Chao Yang

Data-informed predictive maintenance planning largely relies on stochastic deterioration models. Monitoring information can be utilized to update sequentially the knowledge on time-invariant deterioration model parameters either within an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-02 Antonios Kamariotis , Luca Sardi , Iason Papaioannou , Eleni Chatzi , Daniel Straub

We study the Bayesian inverse problem of inferring the permeability of a porous medium within the context of a moving boundary framework motivated by Resin Transfer Molding (RTM), one of the most commonly used processes for manufacturing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Marco Iglesias , Minho Park , M. V. Tretyakov

As groundwater is an essential nutrition and irrigation resource, its pollution may lead to catastrophic consequences. Therefore, accurate modeling of the pollution of the soil and groundwater aquifer is highly important. As a model, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alexander Litvinenko , Dmitry Logashenko , Raul Tempone , Gabriel Wittum , David Keyes

Geoscientists use observed data to estimate properties of the Earth's interior. This often requires non-linear inverse problems to be solved and uncertainties to be estimated. Bayesian inference solves inverse problems under a probabilistic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-01 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Geophysical models usually contain both sharp interfaces and smooth variations, and it is difficult to accurately account for both of these two types of medium parameter variations using conventional full-waveform inversion methods. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 Kai Gao , Lianjie Huang

Full-Waveform Inversion (FWI) is a nonlinear iterative seismic imaging technique that, by reducing the misfit between recorded and predicted seismic waveforms, can produce detailed estimates of subsurface geophysical properties.…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-22 Vahid Negahdari , Seyed Reza Moghadasi , Mohammad Reza Razvan

Water injection in the aquifer induces deformations in the soil. These mechanical deformations give rise to a change in porosity and permeability, which results in non-linearity of the mathematical problem. Assuming that the deformations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Menel Rahrah , Luis A. Lopez-Peña , Fred Vermolen , Bernard Meulenbroek

This paper presents an improved implicit sampling method for hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. A widely used approach for sampling posterior distribution is based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, the samples generated by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Xiaoyan Song , Lijian Jiang , Guanghui Zheng

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio