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Keeping a basic tenet of economic theory, rational expectations, we model the nonlinear positive feedback between agents in the stock market as an interplay between nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. The derived hyperbolic stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen

A recent study of coherent noise model for the system size independent case provides an exact relation between the exponent $\tau$ of avalanche size distribution and the $q$ value of appropriate $q$-Gaussian that fits the return…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-25 Burhan Bakar , Ugur Tirnakli

In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

Continuous time random walk models with decoupled waiting time density are studied. When the spatial one jump probability density belongs to the Levy distribution type and the total time transition is exponential a generalized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 C. Budde , D. Prato , M. R=E9

The q-Gaussian is a probability distribution generalizing the Gaussian one. In spite of a q-normal distribution is popular, there is a problem when calculating an expectation value with a corresponding normalized distribution and not a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Nahla Ben Salah

We investigate the limiting cases of Tsallis statistics. The viewpoint adopted is not the standard information-theoretic one, where one derives the distribution from a given measure of information. Instead the mechanical approach recently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-06-22 Michele Campisi

In recent publications, the authors have considered inverse statistics of the Dow Jones Industrial Averaged (DJIA) [1-3]. Specifically, we argued that the natural candidate for such statistics is the investment horizons distribution. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Johansen , I. Simonsen , M. H. Jensen

The thesis is composed of three parts. Part I introduces the mathematical and statistical tools that are relevant for the study of dependences, as well as statistical tests of Goodness-of-fit for empirical probability distributions. I…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-20 Rémy Chicheportiche

This paper offers a precise analytical characterization of the distribution of returns for a portfolio constituted of assets whose returns are described by an arbitrary joint multivariate distribution. In this goal, we introduce a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Sornette , P. Simonetti , J. V. Andersen

In complex systems such as turbulent flows and financial markets, the dynamics in long and short time-lags, signaled by Gaussian and fat-tailed statistics, respectively, calls for a unified description. To address this issue we analyze a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. A. G. Cortines , R. Riera , C. Anteneodo

We revisit the issues on the thermodynamic property of stellar self-gravitating system arising from Tsallis' non-extensive entropy. Previous papers (Taruya & Sakagami, Physica A 307 (2002) 185 (cond-mat/0107494); ibid. (2002) in press…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Atsushi Taruya , Masa-aki Sakagami

We propose new analytical tools for describing growth-rate distributions generated by stationary time-series. Our analysis shows how deviations from normality are not pathological behaviour, as suggested by some traditional views, but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-01 Edgardo Brigatti

This dissertation reports work where physics methods are applied to financial and economical problems. The first part studies stock market data (chapter 1 to 5). The second part is devoted to personal income in the USA (chapter 6). We first…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva

Within Tsallis statistics, a picture is elaborated to address self--similar time series as a thermodynamic system. Thermodynamic--type characteristics relevant to temperature, pressure, entropy, internal and free energies are introduced and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. I. Olemskoi

Modelling accurately financial price variations is an essential step underlying portfolio allocation optimization, derivative pricing and hedging, fund management and trading. The observed complex price fluctuations guide and constraint our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Arneodo , J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

We show that whenever data are gathered using a device that performs a normalization-preprocessing, the ensuing normalized input, as recorded by the measurement device, will always be q-Gaussian distributed if the incoming data exhibit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-08-23 C. Vignat , A. Plastino

The analysis of the USA 2001 income distribution shows that it can be described by at least two main components, which obey the generalized Tsallis statistics with different values of the q parameter. Theoretical calculations using the gas…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-18 Juan C. Ferrero

Traditional thermodynamic trade-off relations usually apply to quantities that depend linearly on probability distributions. In contrast, many important information-theoretic measures, such as entropies, are nonlinear and therefore…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-17 Yoshihiko Hasegawa

We review the ubiquitous presence in multiparticle production processes of quasi-power law distributions (i.e., distributions following pure power laws for large values of the argument but remaining finite, usually exponential, for small…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-01-20 Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Włodarczyk
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