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The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

Differential privacy (DP) is a compelling privacy definition that explains the privacy-utility tradeoff via formal, provable guarantees. Inspired by recent progress toward general-purpose data release algorithms, we propose a private…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Benjamin Coleman , Anshumali Shrivastava

We propose a randomized physics-informed neural network (PINN) or rPINN method for uncertainty quantification in inverse partial differential equation (PDE) problems with noisy data. This method is used to quantify uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Yifei Zong , David Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are restricted latent class models widely used to measure attributes of interest in diagnostic assessments across education, psychology, biomedical sciences, and related fields. Partial-mastery CDMs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Camilo Cárdenas-Hurtado , Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) can overcome the problem of overconfidence that plagues traditional frequentist deep neural networks, and are hence considered to be a key enabler for reliable AI systems. However, conventional hardware…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Prabodh Katti , Nicolas Skatchkovsky , Osvaldo Simeone , Bipin Rajendran , Bashir M. Al-Hashimi

We build on a recently proposed method for stepwise explaining solutions of Constraint Satisfaction Problems (CSP) in a human-understandable way. An explanation here is a sequence of simple inference steps where simplicity is quantified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Emilio Gamba , Bart Bogaerts , Tias Guns

We present a selective sampling method designed to accelerate the training of deep neural networks. To this end, we introduce a novel measurement, the minimal margin score (MMS), which measures the minimal amount of displacement an input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Berry Weinstein , Shai Fine , Yacov Hel-Or

We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based approach for robustly decoupling combines Bayesian trend filtering and machine learning based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Haoxuan Wu , Toryn L. J. Schafer , Sean Ryan , David S. Matteson

In statistical learning for real-world large-scale data problems, one must often resort to "streaming" algorithms which operate sequentially on small batches of data. In this work, we present an analysis of the information-theoretic limits…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-22 Andre Manoel , Florent Krzakala , Eric W. Tramel , Lenka Zdeborová

Benchmarks and datasets have important role in evaluation of machine learning algorithms and neural network implementations. Traditional dataset for images such as MNIST is applied to evaluate efficiency of different training algorithms in…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-25 Mazdak Fatahi , Mahmood Ahmadi , Mahyar Shahsavari , Arash Ahmadi , Philippe Devienne

Bayesian inference for Markov jump processes (MJPs) where available observations relate to either system states or jumps typically relies on data-augmentation Markov Chain Monte Carlo. State-of-the-art developments involve representing MJP…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Iker Perez , Theodore Kypraios

In cognitive radio (CR) technology, the trend of sensing is no longer to only detect the presence of active primary users. A large number of applications demand for more comprehensive knowledge on primary user behaviors in spatial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Weijia Han , Huiyan Sang , Min Sheng , Jiandong Li , Shuguang Cui

We introduce a new dynamical system for sequentially observed multivariate count data. This model is based on the gamma--Poisson construction---a natural choice for count data---and relies on a novel Bayesian nonparametric prior that ties…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-23 Aaron Schein , Mingyuan Zhou , Hanna Wallach

Identifying a coupled dynamical system out of many plausible candidates, each of which could serve as the underlying generator of some observed measurements, is a profoundly ill posed problem that commonly arises when modelling real world…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-17 Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Karl Friston

A flexible conformal inference method is developed to construct confidence intervals for the frequencies of queried objects in very large data sets, based on a much smaller sketch of those data. The approach is data-adaptive and requires no…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro

Clustering observations across partially exchangeable groups of data is a routine task in Bayesian nonparametrics. Previously proposed models allow for clustering across groups by sharing atoms in the group-specific mixing measures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Alessandro Carminati , Mario Beraha , Federico Camerlenghi , Alessandra Guglielmi

Recent advances in topic models have explored complicated structured distributions to represent topic correlation. For example, the pachinko allocation model (PAM) captures arbitrary, nested, and possibly sparse correlations between topics…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Wei Li , David Blei , Andrew McCallum

We present a Dempster--Shafer (DS) approach to estimating limits from Poisson counting data with nuisance parameters. Dempster--Shafer is a statistical framework that generalizes Bayesian statistics. DS calculus augments traditional…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-21 Paul T. Edlefsen , Chuanhai Liu , Arthur P. Dempster

Bayesian computation of high dimensional linear regression models with a popular Gaussian scale mixture prior distribution using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or its variants can be extremely slow or completely prohibitive due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Aaron Scheffler

Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs) possess a number of properties desirable for a modern classifier: They are easily interpretable, highly scalable, and offer adaptable complexity. However, traditional methods for learning BNCs have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Connor Cooper , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt
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