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With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

Earthquake occurrence is notoriously difficult to predict. While some aspects of their spatiotemporal statistics can be relatively well captured by point-process models, very little is known regarding the magnitude of future events, and it…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-29 Neri Berman , Oleg Zlydenko , Oren Gilon , Yossi Matias , Yohai Bar-Sinai

Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a fixed time after the ocurrence of a characteristic event.…

Experiments at particle colliders are the primary source of insight into physics at microscopic scales. Searches at these facilities often rely on optimization of analyses targeting specific models of new physics. Increasingly, however,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-11-16 Marat Freytsis , Maxim Perelstein , Yik Chuen San

This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

In biomedical engineering, earthquake prediction, and underground energy harvesting, it is crucial to indirectly estimate the physical properties of porous media since the direct measurement of those are usually impractical/prohibitive.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Teeratorn Kadeethum , Thomas M Jørgensen , Hamidreza M Nick

IoT and edge-based inference systems require unique solutions to overcome resource limitations and unpredictable environments. In this paper, we propose an environment-aware dynamic pruning system that handles the unpredictability of edge…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Austin O'Quinn , Conor Snedeker , Siyuan Zhang , Jenna Kline

We propose a new method to tackle the mapping challenge from time-series data to spatial image in the field of seismic exploration, i.e., reconstructing the velocity model directly from seismic data by deep neural networks (DNNs). The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Shucai Li , Bin Liu , Yuxiao Ren , Yangkang Chen , Senlin Yang , Yunhai Wang , Peng Jiang

Standard approaches to forecasting the weekly number of earthquakes on a spatial grid rely on the Poisson distribution with a single global dispersion assumption. We show that this assumption is systematically violated in seismic data from…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-05-21 Alim Igilik

We review previous approaches to nowcasting earthquakes and introduce new approaches based on deep learning using three distinct models based on recurrent neural networks and transformers. We discuss different choices for observables and…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-07 Geoffrey Fox , John Rundle , Andrea Donnellan , Bo Feng

In all types of disasters, from earthquakes to armed conflicts, aid workers need accurate and timely data such as damage to buildings and population displacement to mount an effective response. Remote sensing provides this data at an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Joseph Z. Xu , Wenhan Lu , Zebo Li , Pranav Khaitan , Valeriya Zaytseva

Databases compiled using ab-initio and symmetry-based calculations now contain tens of thousands of topological insulators and topological semimetals. This makes the application of modern machine learning methods to topological materials…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-07-01 Nikolas Claussen , B. Andrei Bernevig , Nicolas Regnault

Recently, the use of machine learning in meteorology has increased greatly. While many machine learning methods are not new, university classes on machine learning are largely unavailable to meteorology students and are not required to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-16 Randy J. Chase , David R. Harrison , Amanda Burke , Gary M. Lackmann , Amy McGovern

We construct a classification model that predicts if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold will take place at a given location in a time range 30-180 days from a given moment of time. A common approach is to use expert…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-28 P. Proskura , A. Zaytsev , I. Braslavsky , E. Egorov , E. Burnaev

The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

The inverse Ising problem and its generalizations to Potts and continuous spin models have recently attracted much attention thanks to their successful applications in the statistical modeling of biological data. In the standard setting,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-06 Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Matteo Figliuzzi , Martin Weigt

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

The sampling based motion planning algorithm known as Rapidly-exploring Random Trees (RRT) has gained the attention of many researchers due to their computational efficiency and effectiveness. Recently, a variant of RRT called RRT* has been…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-28 Ahmed Hussain Qureshi , Yasar Ayaz

We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a temporal time-averaged (Poisson) forecast. A variety of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-23 James R Holliday , William R Graves , John B Rundle , Donald L Turcotte

Two popular boosted decsion tree (BDT) methods, Adaptive BDT (AdaBDT) and Gradient BDT (GradBDT) are studied in the classification problem of separating signal from background assuming all trees are weak learners. The following results are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-11-13 Li-Gang Xia
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