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We present two machine learning frameworks for forecasting aggregated curves and optimizing storage in the EPEX SPOT day-ahead market. First, a fast parametric model forecasts hourly demand and supply curves in a low-dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Julian Gutierrez , Redouane Silvente

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

Cash management is concerned with optimizing the short-term funding requirements of a company. To this end, different optimization strategies have been proposed to minimize costs using daily cash flow forecasts as the main input to the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-16 Francisco Salas-Molina , Francisco J. Martin , Juan A. Rodríguez-Aguilar , Joan Serrà , Josep Ll. Arcos

DemandLens demonstrates an innovative Prophet based forecasting model for the mattress-in-a-box industry, incorporating COVID-19 metrics and SKU-specific hyperparameter optimization. This industry has seen significant growth of E-commerce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Srijesh Pillai , M. I. Jawid Nazir

Demand forecasting is a central component of the replenishment process for retailers, as it provides crucial input for subsequent decision making like ordering processes. In contrast to point estimates, such as the conditional mean of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 F. Wick , U. Kerzel , M. Hahn , M. Wolf , T. Singhal , D. Stemmer , J. Ernst , M. Feindt

Call centers' managers are interested in obtaining accurate point and distributional forecasts of call arrivals in order to achieve an optimal balance between service quality and operating costs. We present a strategy for selecting forecast…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-24 Andrea Bastianin , Marzio Galeotti , Matteo Manera

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy , Michelle L. F. Cheong

Big, transport-related datasets are nowadays publicly available, which makes data-driven mobility analysis possible. Trips with their origins, destinations and travel times are collected in publicly available big databases, which allows for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-26 Guido Cantelmo , Kucharski Rafal , Constantinos Antoniou

The field of algorithms with predictions incorporates machine learning advice in the design of online algorithms to improve real-world performance. A central consideration is the extent to which predictions can be trusted -- while existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Judy Hanwen Shen , Ellen Vitercik , Anders Wikum

Due to the significance of transportation planning, traffic management, and dispatch optimization, predicting passenger origin-destination has emerged as a crucial requirement for intelligent transportation systems management. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Pouria Golshanrad , Hamid Mahini , Behnam Bahrak

In this paper, we present machine learning approaches for characterizing and forecasting the short-term demand for on-demand ride-hailing services. We propose the spatio-temporal estimation of the demand that is a function of variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Ismaïl Saadi , Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq , Jacques Teller , Mario Cools

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

For any business, planning is a continuous process, and typically business-owners focus on making both long-term planning aligned with a particular strategy as well as short-term planning that accommodates the dynamic market situations. An…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-25 Amita Gajewar , Gagan Bansal

This study explores the enhancement of customer satisfaction in the airline industry, a critical factor for retaining customers and building brand reputation, which are vital for revenue growth. Utilizing a combination of machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Tejas Mirthipati

The economic and banking importance of the small and medium enterprise (SME) sector is well recognized in contemporary society. Business credit loans are very important for the operation of SMEs, and the revenue is a key indicator of credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Zebang Zhang , Kui Zhao , Kai Huang , Quanhui Jia , Yanming Fang , Quan Yu

Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

Passenger assistance services are essential for accessible rail travel, yet demand varies substantially across stations and over time, creating challenges for workforce planning and staff rostering. This paper presents a data-driven…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-21 Michael Sheehan , Irina Timoshenko

Inspired by the success of deep learning (DL) in natural language processing (NLP), we applied cutting-edge DL techniques to predict flight departure demand in a strategic time horizon (4 hours or longer). This work was conducted in support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Liya Wang , Amy Mykityshyn , Craig Johnson , Benjamin D. Marple

Effective demand forecasting is critical for inventory management, production planning, and decision making across industries. Selecting the appropriate model and suitable features to efficiently capture patterns in the data is one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ivan Svetunkov , Anna Sroginis