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Predicting material properties is crucial for designing better batteries, semiconductors, and medical devices. Deep learning helps scientists quickly find promising materials by predicting their energy, forces, and stresses. Companies scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Akshay Trikha , Kyle Chu , Advait Gosai , Parker Szachta , Eric Weiner

Hard-label classification is usually trained with smooth surrogate losses, most prominently softmax cross-entropy. We isolate an asymptotic mechanism by which this mismatch between smooth surrogate and discrete labels produces power-law…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Marcel Kühn , Yoon Thelge , Bernd Rosenow

The cross-entropy scaling law has long served as a key tool for guiding the development of large language models. It shows that cross-entropy loss decreases in a predictable power-law rate as the model size increases. However, recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Junxi Yan , Zixi Wei , Qingyao Ai , Yiqun Liu , Jingtao Zhan

Recent work has shown that, in generative modeling, cross-entropy loss improves smoothly with model size and training compute, following a power law plus constant scaling law. One challenge in extending these results to reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Jacob Hilton , Jie Tang , John Schulman

Code Large Language Models (LLMs) are revolutionizing software engineering. However, scaling laws that guide the efficient training are predominantly analyzed on Natural Language (NL). Given the fundamental differences like strict syntax…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Xianzhen Luo , Wenzhen Zheng , Qingfu Zhu , Rongyi Zhang , Houyi Li , Siming Huang , YuanTao Fan , Wanxiang Che

Consensus about the universality of the power law feature in complex networks is experiencing profound challenges. To shine fresh light on this controversy, we propose a generic theoretical framework in order to examine the power law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-24 Xiaojun Zhang , Zheng He , Liwei Zhang , Lez Rayman-Bacchus , Yue Xiao , Shuhui Shen

How quickly can a given class of concepts be learned from examples? It is common to measure the performance of a supervised machine learning algorithm by plotting its "learning curve", that is, the decay of the error rate as a function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Olivier Bousquet , Steve Hanneke , Shay Moran , Ramon van Handel , Amir Yehudayoff

Given a small training data set and a learning algorithm, how much more data is necessary to reach a target validation or test performance? This question is of critical importance in applications such as autonomous driving or medical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Rafid Mahmood , James Lucas , David Acuna , Daiqing Li , Jonah Philion , Jose M. Alvarez , Zhiding Yu , Sanja Fidler , Marc T. Law

We study the growth dynamics of the size of manufacturing firms considering competition and normal distribution of competency. We start with the fact that all components of the system struggle with each other for growth as happened in real…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha

The success of machine learning has resulted from its structured representation of data. Similar data have close internal representations as compressed codes for classification or emerged labels for clustering. We observe that the frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Sungyeop Lee , Junghyo Jo

We identify empirical scaling laws for the cross-entropy loss in four domains: generative image modeling, video modeling, multimodal image$\leftrightarrow$text models, and mathematical problem solving. In all cases autoregressive…

Empirical scaling laws describe how test loss and other performance metrics depend on model size, dataset size, and compute. While such laws are consistent within specific regimes, apparently distinct scaling behaviors have been reported…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yizhou Zhang

We study the data-scaling of transfer learning from foundation models in the low-downstream-data regime. We observe an intriguing phenomenon which we call cliff-learning. Cliff-learning refers to regions of data-scaling laws where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Tony T. Wang , Igor Zablotchi , Nir Shavit , Jonathan S. Rosenfeld

Within the scaling laws paradigm, which underpins the training of large neural networks like ChatGPT and Llama, we consider a supervised regression setting and establish the existance of a strong form of the model collapse phenomenon, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Elvis Dohmatob , Yunzhen Feng , Arjun Subramonian , Julia Kempe

Scaling laws have been used to describe how large language model (LLM) performance scales with model size, training data size, or amount of computational resources. Motivated by the fact that neural quantum states (NQS) has increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Oliver Knitter , Dan Zhao , Stefan Leichenauer , Shravan Veerapaneni

We study universal traits which emerge both in real-world complex datasets, as well as in artificially generated ones. Our approach is to analogize data to a physical system and employ tools from statistical physics and Random Matrix Theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Noam Levi , Yaron Oz

Reasoning is an integral part of many tasks performed by language models (LMs). However, the effects of scaling model sizes and data on reasoning abilities at pretraining time remain understudied. To rigorously investigate this problem, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Xinyi Wang , Shawn Tan , Shenbo Xu , Mingyu Jin , William Yang Wang , Rameswar Panda , Yikang Shen

How close are neural networks to the best they could possibly do? Standard benchmarks cannot answer this because they lack access to the true posterior p(y|x). We use class-conditional normalizing flows as oracles that make exact posteriors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Arian Khorasani , Nathaniel Chen , Yug D Oswal , Akshat Santhana Gopalan , Egemen Kolemen , Ravid Shwartz-Ziv

Synthetic-to-real transfer learning is a framework in which a synthetically generated dataset is used to pre-train a model to improve its performance on real vision tasks. The most significant advantage of using synthetic images is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Hiroaki Mikami , Kenji Fukumizu , Shogo Murai , Shuji Suzuki , Yuta Kikuchi , Taiji Suzuki , Shin-ichi Maeda , Kohei Hayashi

Data scaling has revolutionized research fields like natural language processing, computer vision, and robotics control, providing foundation models with remarkable multi-task and generalization capabilities. In this paper, we investigate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-27 Shaohuai Liu , Lin Dong , Chao Tian , Le Xie
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