Related papers: WOMBAT: A fully Bayesian global flux-inversion fra…
Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…
Quantitative monitoring of subsurface changes is essential for ensuring the safety of geological CO2 sequestration. Full-waveform monitoring (FWM) can resolve these changes at high spatial resolution, but conventional deterministic…
A fundamental problem for waveform-agile radar systems is that the true environment is unknown, and transmission policies which perform well for a particular tracking instance may be sub-optimal for another. Additionally, there is a limited…
Finding a transformation between two unknown probability distributions from finite samples is crucial for modeling complex data distributions and performing tasks such as sample generation, domain adaptation and statistical inference. One…
Accurate quantification of intracellular metabolic fluxes is central to systems biology and biotechnology. Flux estimation relies on biochemical network models, with $^{13}$C metabolic flux analysis (MFA) being the state-of-the-art…
A theoretical framework is established to model the evaporation from continuously fed droplets, promising tools in the thermal management of high heat flux electronics. Using the framework, a comprehensive model is developed for a…
With climate change intensifying, urban waterlogging poses an increasingly severe threat to global public safety and infrastructure. However, existing monitoring approaches rely heavily on manual reporting and fail to provide timely and…
Understanding the dynamics of climate variables is paramount for numerous sectors, like energy and environmental monitoring. This study focuses on the critical need for a precise mapping of environmental variables for national or regional…
Data Assimilation is a cornerstone of atmospheric system modeling, tasked with reconstructing system states by integrating sparse, noisy observations with prior estimation. While traditional approaches like variational and ensemble Kalman…
Conditional flow matching (CFM) has emerged as a powerful framework for training continuous normalizing flows due to its computational efficiency and effectiveness. However, standard CFM often produces paths that deviate significantly from…
Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science. In practice, filtering methods rely on…
Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…
Randomised field experiments, such as A/B testing, have long been the gold standard for evaluating software changes. In the automotive domain, running randomised field experiments is not always desired, possible, or even ethical. In the…
We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…
The integration of external data using Bayesian mixture priors has become a powerful approach in clinical trials, offering significant potential to improve trial efficiency. Despite their strengths in analytical tractability and practical…
Inspired by biological swimming and flying with distributed sensing, we propose a data-driven approach for load estimation that relies on complex networks. We exploit sparse, real-time pressure inputs, combined with pre-trained transition…
In many scientific applications, the target probability distribution cannot be evaluated in closed form or sampled from directly. Instead, it can often be decomposed into multiple components, some of which are accessible only through…
In today's urban landscape, traffic congestion poses a critical challenge, especially during outlier scenarios. These outliers can indicate abrupt traffic peaks, drops, or irregular trends, often arising from factors such as accidents,…
High-fidelity modeling of turbulent flows requires capturing complex spatiotemporal dynamics and multi-scale intermittency, posing a fundamental challenge for traditional knowledge-based systems. While deep generative models, such as…
Particle flow filters solve Bayesian inference problems by smoothly transforming a set of particles into samples from the posterior distribution. Particles move in state space under the flow of an McKean-Vlasov-Ito process. This work…