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While large scale mobility data has become a popular tool to monitor the mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic, the impacts of non-compulsory measures in Tokyo, Japan on human mobility patterns has been under-studied. Here, we…

COVID-19 pandemic has become a global challenge faced by people all over the world. Social distancing has been proved to be an effective practice to reduce the spread of COVID-19. Against this backdrop, we propose that the surveillance…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-08-21 Tingxiang Fan , Zhiming Chen , Xuan Zhao , Jing Liang , Cong Shen , Dinesh Manocha , Jia Pan , Wei Zhang

As Europe is experiencing a second violent CoVid-19 storm, with the PCR-based testing system deteriorating due to the high volumes of people to be tested daily, there is a general reconsideration of the mathematical theories at the basis of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-18 Marco Roccetti , Giovanni Delnevo

Currently there are many attempts around the world to use computers, smartphones, tablets and other electronic devices in order to stop the spread of COVID-19. Most of these attempts focus on collecting information about infected people, in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Alexandru Popa

We demonstrate that the epidemic renormalisation group approach to pandemics provides an effective and simple way to investigate the dynamics of disease transmission and spreading across different regions of the world. The framework also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Francesco Sannino

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

COVID-19 has resulted in a global health crisis that may become even more acute over the upcoming months. One of the main reasons behind the current rapid growth of COVID-19 in the U.S. population is the limited availability of testing kits…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Krishna R. Narayanan , Anoosheh Heidarzadeh , Ramanan Laxminarayan

The goal of this work is to study the optimal controls for the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil. We consider an age-structured SEIRQ model with quarantine compartment, where the controls are the quarantine entrance parameters. We then compare…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-21 João A. M. Gondim , Larissa Machado

The detection and management of diseases become quite complicated when pathogens contain asymptomatic phenotypes amongst their ranks, as evident during the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Spreading of diseases has been studied extensively under…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-27 Saptarshi Sinha , Deep Nath , Soumen Roy

After the blockade that many nations suffered to stop the growth of the incidence curve of COVID-19 during the first half of 2020, they face the challenge of resuming their social and economic activity. The rapid airborne transmissibility…

We investigate adaptive strategies to robustly and optimally control the COVID-19 pandemic via social distancing measures based on the example of Germany. Our goal is to minimize the number of fatalities over the course of two years without…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Johannes Köhler , Lukas Schwenkel , Anne Koch , Julian Berberich , Patricia Pauli , Frank Allgöwer

The cumulative number of confirmed infected individuals by the new coronavirus outbreak until April 30th, 2020, is presented for the countries: Belgium, Brazil, United Kingdom (UK), and United States of America (USA). After an initial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Eduardo L. Brugnago , Rafael M. da Silva , Cesar Manchein , Marcus W. Beims

To contain the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, one of the non-pharmacological epidemic control measures in response to the COVID-19 outbreak is reducing the transmission rate of SARS-COV-2 in the population through (physical)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-19 Song Gao , Jinmeng Rao , Yuhao Kang , Yunlei Liang , Jake Kruse

We study the spread of Covid-19 across neighbourhoods of cities in the developing world and find that small numbers of neighbourhoods account for a majority of cases (k-index~0.7). We also find that the countrywide distribution of cases…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-15 Anand Sahasranaman , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Major interventions have been introduced worldwide to slow down the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Large-scale lockdowns of human movements are effective in reducing the spread, but they come at a cost of significantly limited societal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Haotian Wang , Abhirup Ghosh , Jiaxin Ding , Rik Sarkar , Jie Gao

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

In this work, we provide a general mathematical formalism to study the optimal control of an epidemic, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, via incentives to lockdown and testing. In particular, we model the interplay between the government and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-14 Emma Hubert , Thibaut Mastrolia , Dylan Possamaï , Xavier Warin

Governments have used social distancing to stem the spread of COVID-19, but lack evidence on the most effective policy to ensure compliance. We examine the effectiveness of fines and informational messages (nudges) in promoting social…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-19 Edoardo Gallo , Darija Barak , Alastair Langtry

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

Epidemics and pandemics have ravaged human life since time. To combat these, novel ideas have always been created and deployed by humanity, with varying degrees of success. At this very moment, the COVID-19 pandemic is the singular global…