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In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

We identify the effectiveness of social distancing policies in reducing the transmission of the COVID-19 spread. We build a model that measures the relative frequency and geographic distribution of the virus growth rate and provides…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-21 Difang Huang , Ying Liang , Boyao Wu , Yanyi Ye

The COVID-19 pandemic has plagued the world for months. The U.S. has taken measures to counter it. On a daily basis, newly confirmed cases have been reported. In the early days, these numbers showed an increasing trend. Recently, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-21 Xiubin Bruce Wang , Chaolun Ma

In March of 2020, many U.S. state governments encouraged or mandated restrictions on social interactions to slow the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that has spread to nearly 180 countries.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Parker Liautaud , Peter Huybers , Mauricio Santillana

The COVID-19 pandemic has forced public health experts to develop contingent policies to stem the spread of infection, including measures such as partial/complete lockdowns. The effectiveness of these policies has varied with geography,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Parth Asawa , Manas Gaur , Kaushik Roy , Amit Sheth

Visual analytics techniques are useful tools to support decision-making and cope with increasing data, which is particularly important when monitoring natural or artificial phenomena. When monitoring disease progression, visual analytics…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Wilson E. Marcílio-Jr , Danilo M. Eler , Rogério E. Garcia , Ronaldo C. M. Correia , Rafael M. B. Rodrigues

There are multiple testing methods to ascertain an infection in an individual and they vary in their performances, cost and delay. Unfortunately, better performing tests are sometimes costlier and time consuming and can only be done for a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Harish Sasikumar , Manoj Varma

The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has wreaked havoc worldwide with millions of lives claimed, human travel restricted and economic development halted. Leveraging city-level mobility and case data, our analysis shows…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-29 Yafei Zhang , Lin Wang , Jonathan J. H. Zhu , Xiaofan Wang

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

Since the beginning of 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread rapidly in the city of Wuhan, P.R. China, and subsequently, across the world. The swift spread of the virus is largely attributed to its stealth transmissions…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-06 Grace Yi , Wenqing He , Dennis Kon-Jin Lin , Chun-Ming Yu

By the end of 2021, COVID-19 had spread to over 230 countries, with over 5.4 million deaths. To contain its spread, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions, notably contact tracing and self-quarantine policies. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-14 Jungwoo Kim , Taesik Lee

In this study, we present a new epidemiological model, with contamination from confirmed and unreported. We also compute equilibria and study their stability without intervention strategies. Optimal control theory has proven to be a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-14 Fulgence Mansal , Mouhamadou A. M. T. Baldé , Alpha O. Bah

In a scenario where there is no vaccine for COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions are necessary to contain the spread of the virus and the collapse of the health system in the affected regions. One of these measures is social…

COVID-19, a viral respiratory pandemic, has rapidly spread throughout the globe. Large scale and rapid testing of the population is required to contain the disease, but such testing is prohibitive in terms of resources, cost and time.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-21 Abhishek Srivastava , Anurag Mishra , Trusha Jayant Parekh , Sampreeti Jena

Controlling the COVID-19 pandemic is an urgent global challenge. The rapid geographic spread of SARS-CoV-2 directly reflects the social structure. Before effective vaccines and treatments are widely available, we have to rely on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-11 Karina I Mazzitello , Yi Jiang , Constancio M Arizmendi

We are currently living in a state of uncertainty due to the pandemic caused by the Sars-CoV-2 virus. There are several factors involved in the epidemic spreading such as the individual characteristics of each city/country. The true shape…

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

Testing is a crucial control mechanism in the beginning phase of an epidemic when the vaccines are not yet available. It enables the public health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases from the population, thereby limiting the…

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries opted for strict public health measures, including closing schools. They have now started relaxing some of those restrictions. To avoid overwhelming health systems, predictions for the number of…

Using smartphone location data from Colombia, Mexico, and Indonesia, we investigate how non-pharmaceutical policy interventions intended to mitigate the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic impact human mobility. In all three countries, we find…