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This paper modifies Jaynes's axioms of plausible reasoning and derives the minimum relative entropy principle, Bayes's rule, as well as maximum likelihood from first principles. The new axioms, which I call the Optimum Information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-03-30 Alexis Akira Toda

In most data-scientific approaches, the principle of Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) is used to a posteriori justify some parametric model which has been already chosen based on experience, prior knowledge or computational simplicity. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Bayes' theorem incorporates distinct types of information through the likelihood and prior. Direct observations of state variables enter the likelihood and modify posterior probabilities through consistent updating. Information in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Duncan K. Foley , Ellis Scharfenaker

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible while constrained to match empirically estimated feature expectations. However, in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Kenneth Bogert , Yikang Gui , Prashant Doshi

We prove that information-theoretic maximum entropy (MaxEnt) approach to canonical ensemble is mathematically equivalent to the classic approach of Boltzmann, Gibbs and Darwin-Fowler. The two approaches, however, "interpret" a same…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-01 Hao Ge , Hong Qian

Recent theoretical progress in nonequilibrium thermodynamics, linking the physical principle of Maximum Entropy Production ("MEP") to the information-theoretical "MaxEnt" principle of scientific inference, together with conjectures from…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Peter Martin

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible constrained to match empirical data, for instance, feature expectations. We seek to generalize…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Kenneth Bogert

The entropy maximum approach (Maxent) was developed as a minimization of the subjective uncertainty measured by the Boltzmann--Gibbs--Shannon entropy. Many new entropies have been invented in the second half of the 20th century. Now there…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-07 A. N. Gorban

We discuss how the method of maximum entropy, MaxEnt, can be extended beyond its original scope, as a rule to assign a probability distribution, to a full-fledged method for inductive inference. The main concept is the (relative) entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha

For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

What is the relationship between plausibility logic and the principle of maximum entropy? When does the principle give unreasonable or wrong results? When is it appropriate to use the rule `expectation = average'? Can plausibility logic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-19 P. G. L. Porta Mana

Maximum entropy (MAXENT) method has a large number of applications in theoretical and applied machine learning, since it provides a convenient non-parametric tool for estimating unknown probabilities. The method is a major contribution of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , N. H. Martirosyan

Simplified mechanistic models in ecology have been criticized for the fact that a good fit to data does not imply the mechanism is true: pattern does not equal process. In parallel, the maximum entropy principle (MaxEnt) has been applied in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-02 James P. O'Dwyer , Andrew Rominger , Xiao Xiao

In this paper an alternative approach to statistical mechanics based on the maximum information entropy principle (MaxEnt) is examined, specifically its close relation with the Gibbs method of ensembles. It is shown that the MaxEnt…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-30 Domagoj Kuic

The common cause principle for two random variables $A$ and $B$ is examined in the case of causal insufficiency, when their common cause $C$ is known to exist, but only the joint probability of $A$ and $B$ is observed. As a result, $C$…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-26 A. Hovhannisyan , A. E. Allahverdyan

The Principle of Maximum Entropy is a rigorous technique for estimating an unknown distribution given partial information while simultaneously minimizing bias. However, an important requirement for applying the principle is that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kenneth Bogert , Matthew Kothe

Ill-posed inverse problems of the form y = X p where y is J-dimensional vector of a data, p is m-dimensional probability vector which cannot be measured directly and matrix X of observable variables is a known J,m matrix, J < m, are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-08-27 M. Grendar, , M. Grendar

The phenomenon of entropy concentration provides strong support for the maximum entropy method, MaxEnt, for inferring a probability vector from information in the form of constraints. Here we extend this phenomenon, in a discrete setting,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Kostas N. Oikonomou

The principle of maximum entropy (Maxent) is often used to obtain prior probability distributions as a method to obtain a Gibbs measure under some restriction giving the probability that a system will be in a certain state compared to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Jesper Tegnér

This paper explains why internal and external validity cannot be simultaneously maximised. It introduces "evidential states" to represent the information available for causal inference and shows that routine study operations (restriction,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-01 Daniel D. Reidpath
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