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Related papers: Emergency Department Optimization and Load Predict…

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Background: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding remains a major challenge, causing delays in care and increased operational strain. Hospital management often reacts to congestion after it occurs. Machine learning predictive modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Orhun Vural , Bunyamin Ozaydin , Khalid Y. Aram , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Abdulaziz Ahmed

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a significant threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Forecasting future service demand has the potential patient outcomes. Despite active research on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Jalmari Tuominen , Eetu Pulkkinen , Jaakko Peltonen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

Overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) remains a persistent operational challenge worldwide, causing delays in care delivery and downstream congestion. ED boarding time, defined as the duration admitted patients remain in the ED while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Orhun Vural , Abdulaziz Ahmed , Ferhat Zengul , James Booth , Bunyamin Ozaydin

There were 25.6 million attendances at Emergency Departments (EDs) in England in 2019 corresponding to an increase of 12 million attendances over the past ten years. The steadily rising demand at EDs creates a constant challenge to provide…

We study the estimation of the probability distribution of individual patient waiting times in an emergency department (ED). Our feature-rich modelling allows for dynamic updating and refinement of waiting time estimates as patient- and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Siddharth Arora , James W. Taylor , Ho-Yin Mak

Urgent care clinics and emergency departments around the world periodically suffer from extended wait times beyond patient expectations due to inadequate staffing levels. These delays have been linked with adverse clinical outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Paula Maddigan , Teo Susnjak

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a well-recognized threat to patient safety and it has been repeatedly associated with increased mortality. Accurate forecasts of future service demand could lead to better resource management and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Jalmari Tuominen , Teemu Koivistoinen , Juho Kanniainen , Niku Oksala , Ari Palomäki , Antti Roine

Recently, the combination of machine learning (ML) and simulation is gaining a lot of attention. This paper presents a novel application of ML within the simulation to improve patient flow within an emergency department (ED). An ML model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Emad Alenany , Abdessamad Ait El Cadi

Introduction: One of the most important tasks in the Emergency Department (ED) is to promptly identify the patients who will benefit from hospital admission. Machine Learning (ML) techniques show promise as diagnostic aids in healthcare.…

Emergency department (ED) crowding has been an increasing problem worldwide. Prior research has identified factors that contribute to ED crowding. However, the relationships between these remain incompletely understood. This study's…

Emergency Departments (EDs) overcrowding is a well recognized worldwide phenomenon. The consequences range from long waiting times for visits and treatment of patients up to life-threatening health conditions. The international community is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-01 G. Fava , T. Giovannelli , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

Background: The stochastic behavior of patient arrival at an emergency department (ED) complicates the management of an ED. More than 50% of hospitals ED capacity tends to operate beyond its normal capacity and eventually fails to deliver…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Avishek Choudhury

Optimization of patient throughput and wait time in emergency departments (ED) is an important task for hospital systems. For that reason, Emergency Severity Index (ESI) system for patient triage was introduced to help guide manual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-11 Djordje Gligorijevic , Jelena Stojanovic , Wayne Satz , Ivan Stojkovic , Kathrin Schreyer , Daniel Del Portal , Zoran Obradovic

Accurate modeling of the patient flow within an Emergency Department (ED) is required by all studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of overcrowding. Since Discrete Event Simulation (DES) models are often adopted with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-02 A. De Santis , T. Giovannelli , S. Lucidi , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

Environments such as shopping malls, airports, or hospital emergency departments often experience crowding, with many people simultaneously requesting service. Crowding is highly noisy, with sudden overcrowding "spikes". Past research has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-16 Gil Parnass , Osnat Levtzion-Korach , Renana Peres , Michael Assaf

This study presents a deep learning-based framework for predicting emergency department (ED) boarding counts six hours in advance using only operational and contextual data, without patient-level information. Data from ED tracking systems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Orhun Vural , Bunyamin Ozaydin , James Booth , Brittany F. Lindsey , Abdulaziz Ahmed

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

The demand for emergency department (ED) services is increasing across the globe, particularly during the current COVID-19 pandemic. Clinical triage and risk assessment have become increasingly challenging due to the shortage of medical…

Most of the studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding usually mainly focus on modeling the patient flow within a single ED, without considering the possibilities offered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Christian Piermarini , Massimo Roma

Problem definition: Emergency department (ED) boarding refers to the practice of holding patients in the ED after they have been admitted to hospital wards, usually resulting from insufficient inpatient resources. Boarded patients may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Shasha Han , Shuangchi He , Hong Choon Oh
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