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We consider learning continuous probabilistic graphical models in the face of missing data. For non-Gaussian models, learning the parameters and structure of such models depends on our ability to perform efficient inference, and can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Gal Elidan

Hierarchical Bayesian networks and neural networks with stochastic hidden units are commonly perceived as two separate types of models. We show that either of these types of models can often be transformed into an instance of the other, by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

This work introduces a novel technique, named structural dimension reduction, to collapse a Bayesian network onto a minimum and localized one while ensuring that probabilistic inferences between the original and reduced networks remain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-14 Pei Heng , Yi Sun , Jianhua Guo

Probabilistic world models increase data efficiency of model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) by guiding the policy with their epistemic uncertainty to improve exploration and acquire new samples. Moreover, the uncertainty-aware learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Can Bogoclu , Robert Vosshall , Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos

Federated Learning enables multiple data centers to train a central model collaboratively without exposing any confidential data. Even though deterministic models are capable of performing high prediction accuracy, their lack of calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Atahan Ozer , Kadir Burak Buldu , Abdullah Akgül , Gozde Unal

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

We explore the application of a nonlinear MCMC technique first introduced in [1] to problems in Bayesian machine learning. We provide a convergence guarantee in total variation that uses novel results for long-time convergence and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-28 James Vuckovic

It is "well known" that in linear models: (1) testable constraints on the marginal distribution of observed variables distinguish certain cases in which an unobserved cause jointly influences several observed variables; (2) the technique of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 David Danks , Clark Glymour

Starting from the hypothesis that both physics, in particular space-time and the physical vacuum, and the corresponding mathematics are discrete on the Planck scale we develop a certain framework in form of a class of ' cellular networks'…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-09-06 Manfred Requardt

This paper considers the problem of learning the parameters in Bayesian networks of discrete variables with known structure and hidden variables. Previous approaches in these settings typically use expectation maximization; when the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Yonatan Halpern , David Sontag

Identifying a coupled dynamical system out of many plausible candidates, each of which could serve as the underlying generator of some observed measurements, is a profoundly ill posed problem that commonly arises when modelling real world…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-17 Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Karl Friston

Dependency networks (Heckerman et al., 2000) are potential probabilistic graphical models for systems comprising a large number of variables. Like Bayesian networks, the structure of a dependency network is represented by a directed graph,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

It is oftentimes impossible to understand how machine learning models reach a decision. While recent research has proposed various technical approaches to provide some clues as to how a learning model makes individual decisions, they cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Wenbo Guo , Kaixuan Zhang , Lin Lin , Sui Huang , Xinyu Xing

Biological networks have been recently found to exhibit many topological properties of the so-called complex networks. It has been reported that they are, in general, both highly skewed and directed. In this paper, we report on the dynamics…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Jesus Gomez-Gardenes , Yamir Moreno , Luis M. Floria

When the historical data are limited, the conditional probabilities associated with the nodes of Bayesian networks are uncertain and can be empirically estimated. Second order estimation methods provide a framework for both estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Conrad D. Hougen , Lance M. Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Alfred O. Hero

Deep neural networks (DNN) are versatile parametric models utilised successfully in a diverse number of tasks and domains. However, they have limitations---particularly from their lack of robustness and over-sensitivity to out of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 John Mitros , Brian Mac Namee

Generalization is essential for deep learning. In contrast to previous works claiming that Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have an implicit regularization implemented by the stochastic gradient descent, we demonstrate explicitly Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Xinjie Lan , Kenneth E. Barner

Modeling natural phenomena with artificial neural networks (ANNs) often provides highly accurate predictions. However, ANNs often suffer from over-parameterization, complicating interpretation and raising uncertainty issues. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Eirik Høyheim , Lars Skaaret-Lund , Solve Sæbø , Aliaksandr Hubin

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models employed in numerous application domains. However, inferring the network's graphical structure from data remains challenging. Bayesian structure learners…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 William Zhao , Guy Van den Broeck , Benjie Wang

Many empirical networks display an inherent tendency to cluster, i.e. to form circles of connected nodes. This feature is typically measured by the clustering coefficient (CC). The CC, originally introduced for binary, undirected graphs,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Giorgio Fagiolo