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Mode shape information play the essential role in deciding the spatial pattern of vibratory response of a structure. The uncertainty quantification of mode shape, i.e., predicting mode shape variation when the structure is subjected to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-24 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

Model uncertainties and simulation uncertainties occur in mathematical modeling of multiscale complex systems, since some mechanisms or scales are not represented (i.e., "unresolved") due to lack in our understanding of these mechanisms or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Quantifying uncertainty and updating reliability are essential for ensuring the safety and performance of engineering systems. This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian modeling (HBM) framework to quantify uncertainty and update…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Xinyu Jia , Weinan Hou , Costas Papadimitriou

This paper presents a hybrid continuum discrete macro modelling strategy with a multiscale calibration procedure for realistic simulations of brick masonry bridges. The response of these structures is affected by the intrinsic nonlinearity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Bartolomeo Panto' , Corrado Chisari , Lorenzo Macorini , Bassam A. Izzuddin

Multiscale phenomena exhibit complex structure-function relationships, and predicting their macroscopic behavior requires deducing differential equations at different scales. The complexity of these equations and the number of essential…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-07-25 Vincenzo Fazio , Nicola Maria Pugno , Orazio Giustolisi , Giuseppe Puglisi

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

In this uncertain world, data uncertainty is inherent in many applications and its importance is growing drastically due to the rapid development of modern technologies. Nowadays, researchers have paid more attention to mine patterns in…

Practical structural engineering problems are often characterized by significant uncertainties. Historically, one of the prevalent methods to account for this uncertainty has been the standard Monte Carlo (MC) method. Recently, improved…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Philippe Blondeel , Pieterjan Robbe , Cédric van hoorickx , Geert Lombaert , Stefan Vandewalle

We examine the problem of making reconciled forecasts of large collections of related time series through a behavioural/Bayesian lens. Our approach explicitly acknowledges and exploits the 'connectedness' of the series in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

This paper presents a novel numerical method for the hybrid reliability analysis by using the uncertainty theory. Aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty are considered simultaneously in this method. Epistemic uncertainty is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Lei Zhang

The goal of this research is to derive an approach to assess uncertainty in an arbitrary volume conditioned by sampling data, without using geostatistical simulation. We have accomplished this goal by deriving an numerical tool suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

Heisenberg's uncertainty principle is formulated for a set of generalized measurements within the framework of majorization theory, resulting in a partial uncertainty order on probability vectors that is stronger than those based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-26 M. Hossein Partovi

Mixture quality plays a crucial role in the physical properties of multi-component immiscible polymer mixtures including nanocomposites and polymer blends. Such complex mixtures are often characterized by hierarchical internal structures,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-12-28 Yasuya Nakayama , Toshihisa Kajiwara

Advancement in manufacturing methods enable designing so called metamaterials with a tailor-made microstructure. Microstructure affects materials response within a length-scale, where we model this behavior by using the generalized…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Bozo Vazic , Bilen Emek Abali , Pania Newell

For many materials, macroscopic mechanical behavior is determined by an intricate microstructure. Understanding the relation between these two scales helps scientists and engineers design better materials. The relation which maps…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Mark Girolami , Kaushik Bhattacharya , Andrew M. Stuart

When a measurement of a physical quantity is reported, the total uncertainty is usually decomposed into statistical and systematic uncertainties. This decomposition is not only useful to understand the contributions to the total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-18 Andrés Pinto , Zhibo Wu , Fabrice Balli , Nicolas Berger , Maarten Boonekamp , Émilien Chapon , Tatsuo Kawamoto , Bogdan Malaescu

The advent of fabrication techniques such as additive manufacturing has focused attention on the considerable variability of material response due to defects and other microstructural aspects. This variability motivates the development of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-26 Francesco Rizzi , Mohammad Khalil , Reese E. Jones , Jeremy A. Templeton , Jakob T. Ostien , Brad L. Boyce

We present a novel approach to uncertainty quantification in classification tasks based on label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures. This label-wise perspective allows uncertainty to be quantified at the individual class level,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Lisa Wimmer , Thomas Nagler , Eyke Hüllermeier

Phase fractions, compositions and energies of the stable phases as a function of macroscopic composition, temperature, and pressure (X-T-P) are the principle correlations needed for the design of new materials and improvement of existing…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-02-04 Noah H Paulson , Brandon J Bocklund , Richard A Otis , Zi-Kui Liu , Marius Stan