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Trade executions for major stocks come in bursts of activity, which can be partly attributed to the presence of self- and mutual excitations endogenous to the system. In this paper, we study transaction reports for five FTSE 100 stocks. We…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Isobel Seabrook , Paolo Barucca , Fabio Caccioli

We study general aspects of active motion with fluctuations in the speed and the direction of motion in two dimensions. We consider the case in which fluctuations in the speed are not correlated to fluctuations in the direction of motion,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Fernando Peruani , Luis G. Morelli

The event sequence of many diverse systems is represented as a sequence of discrete events in a continuous space. Examples of such an event sequence are earthquake aftershock events, financial transactions, e-commerce transactions, social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Jayesh Malaviya

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of nearly unstable Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm strictly greater than one and close to one as time goes to infinity. We find that,the scaling size determines…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Chenguang Liu , Liping Xu , An Zhang

We determine the large size limit of a network of interacting Hawkes Processes on an adaptive network. The flipping of the node variables is taken to have an intensity given by the mean-field of the afferent edges and nodes. The flipping of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 James MacLaurin

A self-organized branching process is introduced to describe one-dimensional ricepile model with stochastic topplings. Although the branching processes are generally supposed to describe well the systems in high dimension, our modification…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Frantisek Slanina

Brain-like self-assembled networks can infer and analyze information out of unorganized noisy signals with minimal power consumption. These networks are characterized by spatiotemporal avalanches and their crackling behavior, and their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-04-30 Vivek Dey , Steffen Kampman , Rafael Gutierrez , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Pavan Nukala

Spatial self-similarity is a hallmark of critical phenomena. We investigate the dynamic process of percolation, in which bonds are incrementally inserted to an empty lattice until fully occupied, and track the gaps describing the changes in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-08 Mingzhong Lu , Yu-Feng Song , Ming Li , Youjin Deng

We consider a generalization of spatial branching coalescing processes in which the behaviour of individuals is not (necessarily) independent, on the contrary, individuals tend to take simultaneous actions. We show that these processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , András Tóbiás

Complex systems are often characterized by the interplay of multiple interconnected dynamical processes operating across a range of temporal scales. This phenomenon is widespread in both biological and artificial scenarios, making it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Giorgio Nicoletti , Daniel M. Busiello

For ordinary (independent) percolation on a large class of lattices it is well known that below the critical percolation parameter $p_c$ the cluster size distribution has exponential decay and that power-law behavior of this distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-10 J. van den Berg

Temporal networks are characterised by interdependent link events between nodes, forming ordered sequences of links that may represent specific information flows in the system. Nevertheless, representing temporal networks using discrete…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Yuwei Zhu , Paolo Barucca

We characterize the distributions of size and duration of avalanches propagating in complex networks. By an avalanche we mean the sequence of events initiated by the externally stimulated `excitation' of a network node, which may, with some…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-10-22 Daniel B. Larremore , Marshall Y. Carpenter , Edward Ott , Juan G. Restrepo

We study survival properties of inhomogeneous Galton-Watson processes. We determine the so-called branching number (which is the reciprocal of the critical value for percolation) for these random trees (conditioned on being infinite), which…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Erik Broman , Ronald Meester

Modelling and forecasting the occurrence of extreme events is especially difficult when the event process is nonstationary, with changes in both the rate at which extremes occur and the magnitude of the extremes when they occur. We approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Gordon J. Ross , Dean Markwick

The propagation of a crack front in disordered materials is jerky and characterized by bursts of activity, called avalanches. These phenomena are the manifestation of an out-of-equilibrium phase transition originated by the disorder. As a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-14 Clément Le Priol , Julien Chopin , Pierre Le Doussal , Laurent Ponson , Alberto Rosso

The dynamics of a 2D site percolation model on a square lattice is studied using the hierarchical approach introduced by Gabrielov et al., Phys. Rev. E, 60, 5293-5300, 1999. The key elements of the approach are the tree representation of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrei Gabrielov , Henry Hang Lam Wong , Ilya Zaliapin

In the last decade, Hawkes processes have received a lot of attention as good models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks. In this paper we consider a variant of this process, the Age Dependent Hawkes process, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Mads Bonde Raad , Susanne Ditlevsen , Eva Löcherbach

We discuss intermittent time series consisting of discrete bursts or avalanches separated by waiting or silent times. The short time correlations can be understood to follow from the properties of individual avalanches, while longer time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Lasse Laurson , Xavier Illa , Mikko J. Alava

The structure of interconnected systems and its impact on the system dynamics is a much-studied cross-disciplinary topic. Although various critical phenomena have been found in different models, the study on the connections between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-03 Ming Li , Linyuan Lü , Youjin Deng , Mao-Bin Hu , Hao Wang , Matúš Medo , H. Eugene Stanley
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