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Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

Financial markets are integral to a country's economic success, yet their complex nature raises challenging issues for predicting their behaviors. There is a growing demand for an integrated system that explores the vast and diverse data in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-10 Ali Abrishami , Jafar Habibi , AmirAli Jarrahi , Dariush Amiri , MohammadAmin Fazli

Based on economic theories and integrated with machine learning technology, this study explores a collaborative Supply Chain Management and Financial Supply Chain Management (SCM - FSCM) model to solve issues like efficiency loss, financing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Hang Wang , Huijie Tang , Ningai Leng , Zhoufan Yu

In the area of credit risk analytics, current Bankruptcy Prediction Models (BPMs) struggle with (a) the availability of comprehensive and real-world data sets and (b) the presence of extreme class imbalance in the data (i.e., very few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Sheikh Rabiul Islam , William Eberle , Sheikh K. Ghafoor , Sid C. Bundy , Douglas A. Talbert , Ambareen Siraj

Financial models do not merely analyse markets, but actively shape them. This effect, known as performativity, describes how financial theories and the subsequent actions based on them influence market processes, by creating self-fulfilling…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-19 Charalampos Kleitsikas , Stefanos Leonardos , Carmine Ventre

Sophisticated machine learning (ML) models to inform trading in the financial sector create problems of interpretability and risk management. Seemingly robust forecasting models may behave erroneously in out of distribution settings. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Gabriel Deza , Adelin Travers , Colin Rowat , Nicolas Papernot

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

Bias in data can have unintended consequences that propagate to the design, development, and deployment of machine learning models. In the financial services sector, this can result in discrimination from certain financial instruments and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Reginald Bryant , Celia Cintas , Isaac Wambugu , Andrew Kinai , Komminist Weldemariam

The advent of the era of big data provides new ideas for financial distress prediction. In order to evaluate the financial status of listed companies more accurately, this study establishes a financial distress prediction indicator system…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-22 Yi Ding , Chun Yan

This study emphasizes how crucial it is to visualize machine learning models, especially for the banking industry, in order to improve interpretability and support predictions in high stakes financial settings. Visual tools enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Priyam Ganguly , Ramakrishna Garine , Isha Mukherjee

The increasing scale and complexity of global supply chains have led to new challenges spanning various fields, such as supply chain disruptions due to long waiting lines at the ports, material shortages, and inflation. Coupled with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Haibo Wang , Lutfu S. Sua , Bahram Alidaee

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Effective credit risk management is fundamental to financial decision-making, requiring robust models to predict default probabilities and classify financial entities. Traditional machine learning approaches face significant challenges when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S. Sua , Figen Balo , Burak Dolar

The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Didier Sornette , Ryan Woodard

To improve decision-making and planning efficiency in back-end centralized redundant supply chains, this paper proposes a decision model integrating deep learning with intelligent particle swarm optimization. A distributed node deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Shiman Zhang , Jinghan Zhou , Zhoufan Yu , Ningai Leng

We consider a class of queries called durability prediction queries that arise commonly in predictive analytics, where we use a given predictive model to answer questions about possible futures to inform our decisions. Examples of…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Junyang Gao , Yifan Xu , Pankaj K. Agarwal , Jun Yang

A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

Systemic risk is a rapidly developing area of research. Classical financial models often do not adequately reflect the phenomena of bubbles, crises, and transitions between them during credit cycles. To study very improbable events,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

In risk management it is desirable to grasp the essential statistical features of a time series representing a risk factor. This tutorial aims to introduce a number of different stochastic processes that can help in grasping the essential…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Antonio Dalessandro , Matthias Neugebauer , Fares Triki

Financial time series forecasting is, without a doubt, the top choice of computational intelligence for finance researchers from both academia and financial industry due to its broad implementation areas and substantial impact. Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Omer Berat Sezer , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu
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