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Related papers: Splitting strategies for post-selection inference

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We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Maitreyi Swaroop , Tamar Krishnamurti , Bryan Wilder

Statistical inference is often simplified by sample-splitting. This simplification comes at the cost of the introduction of randomness not native to the data. We propose a simple procedure for sequentially aggregating statistics constructed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano

When the target of statistical inference is chosen in a data-driven manner, the guarantees provided by classical theories vanish. We propose a solution to the problem of inference after selection by building on the framework of algorithmic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Tijana Zrnic , Michael I. Jordan

Post-selection inference consists in providing statistical guarantees, based on a data set, that are robust to a prior model selection step on the same data set. In this paper, we address an instance of the post-selection-inference problem,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Dominique Bontemps , François Bachoc , Pierre Neuvial

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Data splitting divides data into two parts. One part is reserved for model selection. In some applications, the second part is used for model validation but we use this part for estimating the parameters of the chosen model. We focus on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 Julian J. Faraway

We consider the problem of inference after model selection under weak assumptions in the time series setting. Even when the data are not independent, we show that sample splitting remains asymptotically valid as long as the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Robert Lunde

This paper studies hypothesis testing and parameter estimation in the context of the divide and conquer algorithm. In a unified likelihood based framework, we propose new test statistics and point estimators obtained by aggregating various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Heather Battey , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Junwei Lu , Ziwei Zhu

Effective and accurate model selection is an important problem in modern data analysis. One of the major challenges is the computational burden required to handle large data sets that cannot be stored or processed on one machine. Another…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Michael Minyi Zhang , Henry Lam , Lizhen Lin

The likelihood for the parameters of a generalized linear mixed model involves an integral which may be of very high dimension. Because of this intractability, many approximations to the likelihood have been proposed, but all can fail when…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-01 Helen Ogden

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

Inference-time sampling can elicit strong reasoning abilities from language models without additional training. Existing power-sampling methods do so by sharpening the distribution over full generated outputs, favoring completions that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Aleksei Arzhantsev , Otmane Sakhi , Nicolas Chopin

Investigators often use the data to generate interesting hypotheses and then perform inference for the generated hypotheses. P-values and confidence intervals must account for this explorative data analysis. A fruitful method for doing so…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Keli Liu , Jelena Markovic , Robert Tibshirani

Machine learning algorithms aim at minimizing the number of false decisions and increasing the accuracy of predictions. However, the high predictive power of advanced algorithms comes at the costs of transparency. State-of-the-art methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Klaus Broelemann , Gjergji Kasneci

This work addresses the problem of high-dimensional classification by exploring the generalized Bayesian logistic regression method under a sparsity-inducing prior distribution. The method involves utilizing a fractional power of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 The Tien Mai

Distribution regression refers to the supervised learning problem where labels are only available for groups of inputs instead of individual inputs. In this paper, we develop a rigorous mathematical framework for distribution regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Maud Lemercier , Cristopher Salvi , Theodoros Damoulas , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terry Lyons

In this paper we develop a statistical theory and an implementation of deep learning models. We show that an elegant variable splitting scheme for the alternating direction method of multipliers optimises a deep learning objective. We allow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-22 Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard , Massoud Heidari

Selective rationalization aims to produce decisions along with rationales (e.g., text highlights or word alignments between two sentences). Commonly, rationales are modeled as stochastic binary masks, requiring sampling-based gradient…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Nuno Miguel Guerreiro , André F. T. Martins

The graphical lasso is a widely used algorithm for fitting undirected Gaussian graphical models. However, for inference on functionals of edge values in the learned graph, standard tools lack formal statistical guarantees, such as control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Sofia Guglielmini , Gerda Claeskens , Snigdha Panigrahi