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Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

Longitudinal data tracking repeated measurements on individuals are highly valued for research because they offer controls for unmeasured individual heterogeneity that might otherwise bias results. Random effects or mixed models approaches,…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 J. R. Lockwood , Daniel F. McCaffrey

In sorting literature, comparative statics for multidimensional assignment models with general output functions and input distributions is an important open question. We provide a complete theory of comparative statics for technological…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-12 Job Boerma , Andrea Ottolini , Aleh Tsyvinski

This paper studies treatment effect models in which individuals are classified into unobserved groups based on heterogeneous treatment rules. Using a finite mixture approach, we propose a marginal treatment effect (MTE) framework in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Recommender Systems have proliferated as general-purpose approaches to model a wide variety of consumer interaction data. Specific instances make use of signals ranging from user feedback, item relationships, geographic locality, social…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Wang-Cheng Kang , Mengting Wan , Julian McAuley

In many complex applications, data heterogeneity and homogeneity exist simultaneously. Ignoring either one will result in incorrect statistical inference. In addition, coping with complex data that are non-Euclidean becomes more common. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Zixuan Han , Tao Li , Jinhong You

Collaborative filtering is an important technique for recommendation. Whereas it has been repeatedly shown to be effective in previous work, its performance remains unsatisfactory in many real-world applications, especially those where the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Zhiyu Min , Dahua Lin

Entity information network is used to describe structural relationships between entities. Taking advantage of its extension and heterogeneity, entity information network is more and more widely applied to relationship modeling. Recent…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Liang Yin , Li-Chen Shi , Jun-Yan Zhao , Song-Yang Du , Wen-Bo Xie , Duan-Bing Chen

We study the production, entry, and technological decisions of firms in the presence of bribery. We find that bribery can be justified even in the absence of bureaucratic inefficiencies. We document substantial technology-specific…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-21 Jafar M. Olimov , Yi-Chan Tsai , Hao-Yu Yang

Consistency checking of interdependent heterogeneous engineering artifacts, such as requirements, specifications, and code, is a challenging task in large-scale engineering projects. The lack of team-oriented solutions allowing a multitude…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Michael Alexander Tröls , Atif Mashkoor , Alexander Egyed

There is growing empirical evidence that firm heterogeneity is technologically non-neutral. This paper extends Gandhi et al.'s (2020) proxy variable framework for structurally identifying production functions to a more general case when…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-28 Emir Malikov , Shunan Zhao , Jingfang Zhang

This paper contributes to the literature on hedonic models in two ways. First, it makes use of Queyranne's reformulation of a hedonic model in the discrete case as a network flow problem in order to provide a proof of existence and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-16 Arnaud Dupuy , Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

Diversity is a central concept in many fields. Despite its importance, there is no unified methodological framework to measure diversity and its three components of variety, balance and disparity. Current approaches take into account…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-27 Alje van Dam

A myriad of different data are generated to characterize a soccer match. Here we discuss which performance indicators are particularly helpful to forecast the future results of a team via an estimation of the underlying team strengths with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Andreas Heuer

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

Uncovering the heterogeneous effects of particular policies or "treatments" is a key concern for researchers and policymakers. A common approach is to report average treatment effects across subgroups based on observable covariates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-02 Riccardo Di Francesco

Collective intelligence is the ability of a group to perform more effectively than any individual alone. Diversity among group members is a key condition for the emergence of collective intelligence, but maintaining diversity is challenging…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-18 Richard P. Mann , Dirk Helbing

Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-26 Byunghoon Kang

Many workers at the production department of Libyan Textile Company work with different performances. Plan of company management is paying the money according to the specific performance and quality requirements for each worker. Thus, it is…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-26 Hamza Saad