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An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

I propose a frequency domain adaptation of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm to group a family of time series in classes of similar dynamic structure. It does this by viewing the magnitude of the discrete Fourier transform (DFT)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Georg M. Goerg

Since many decades, there is a general perception in literature that the Fourier methods are not suitable for the analysis of nonlinear and nonstationary data. In this paper, we propose a Fourier Decomposition Method (FDM) and demonstrate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Pushpendra Singh , Shiv Dutt Joshi , Rakesh Kumar Patney , Kaushik Saha

We study the volatility functional inference by Fourier transforms. This spectral framework is advantageous in that it harnesses the power of harmonic analysis to handle missing data and asynchronous observations without any artificial time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Richard Y. Chen

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Hengyu Ye , Jiadong Chen , Shijin Gong , Fuxin Jiang , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Xiaofeng Gao

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Principal component analysis has been a main tool in multivariate analysis for estimating a low dimensional linear subspace that explains most of the variability in the data. However, in high-dimensional regimes, naive estimates of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jamshid Namdari , Amita Manatunga , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert Krafty

An important problem in physics concerns the analysis of audio time series generated by transduced acoustic phenomena. Here, we develop a new method to quantify the scaling properties of the local variance of nonstationary time series. We…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Heather D. Jennings , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , A. M. Martins , P. C. da Silva , G. M. Viswanathan

Several data-driven approaches based on information theory have been proposed for analyzing high-order interactions involving three or more components of a network system. Most of these methods are defined only in the time domain and rely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yuri Antonacci , Chiara Bara' , Laura Sparacino , Gorana Mijatovic , Ludovico Minati , Luca Faes

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology for analyzing nonstationary time series that exhibit oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the time series using a piecewise oscillatory model with unknown periodicities, where our goal is to estimate…

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

This article considers the problem of analyzing associations between power spectra of multiple time series and cross-sectional outcomes when data are observed from multiple subjects. The motivating application comes from sleep medicine,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-19 Robert T. Krafty , Ori Rosen , David S. Stoffer , Daniel J. Buysse , Martica H. Hall

Time series forecasting is critical for decision-making across dynamic domains such as energy, finance, transportation, and cloud computing. However, real-world time series often exhibit non-stationarity, including temporal distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Junkai Lu , Peng Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Yang Shu , Meng Wang , Bin Yang

Functional data often arise from measurements on fine time grids and are obtained by separating an almost continuous time record into natural consecutive intervals, for example, days. The functions thus obtained form a functional time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Siegfried Hörmann , Piotr Kokoszka

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Finding parametric models that accurately describe the dependence structure of observed data is a central task in the analysis of time series. Classical frequency domain methods provide a popular set of tools for fitting and diagnostics of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Stefan Birr , Tobias Kley , Stanislav Volgushev

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

The anomaly detection of time series is a hotspot of time series data mining. The own characteristics of different anomaly detectors determine the abnormal data that they are good at. There is no detector can be optimizing in all types of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Hui Ye , Xiaopeng Ma , Qingfeng Pan , Huaqiang Fang , Hang Xiang , Tongzhen Shao

Functional time series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. Important contributions to methodology, theory and application for the prediction of future trajectories and the estimation of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-04 Alexander Aue , Johannes Klepsch

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette