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We present an analytic model of the lightcurve variation for stars with non-evolving starspots on a differentially rotating surface. The Fourier coefficients of the harmonics of the rotation period are expressed in terms of the latitude of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-17 Yasushi Suto , Shin Sasaki , Yuta Nakagawa , Othman Benomar

Missing values are common in many real-life datasets. However, most of the current machine learning methods can not handle missing values. This means that they should be imputed beforehand. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are non-parametric models…

This paper presents a Gaussian process (GP) model for estimating piecewise continuous regression functions. In scientific and engineering applications of regression analysis, the underlying regression functions are piecewise continuous in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-15 Chiwoo Park

Within the last years, the classification of variable stars with Machine Learning has become a mainstream area of research. Recently, visualization of time series is attracting more attention in data science as a tool to visually help…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-13 Christian Pieringer , Karim Pichara , Márcio Catelán , Pavlos Protopapas

Adaptive learning is necessary for non-stationary environments where the learning machine needs to forget past data distribution. Efficient algorithms require a compact model update to not grow in computational burden with the incoming data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , Manel Martínez-Ramón

As the hunt for an Earth-like exoplanets has intensified in recent years, so has the effort to characterise and model the stellar signals that can hide or mimic small planetary signals. Stellar variability arises from a number of sources,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Niamh K. O'Sullivan , Suzanne Aigrain

Despite their promise and ubiquity, Gaussian processes (GPs) can be difficult to use in practice due to the computational impediments of fitting and sampling from them. Here we discuss a short R package for efficient multivariate normal…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-23 Giri Gopalan , Luke Bornn

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We provide a survey of nonstationary surrogate models which utilize Gaussian processes (GPs) or variations thereof, including nonstationary kernel adaptations, partition and local GPs, and spatial warpings through deep Gaussian processes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-04 Annie S. Booth , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as surrogate models for emulating computer code, which simulate complex physical phenomena. In many problems, additional boundary information (i.e., the behavior of the phenomena along input…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Liang Ding , Simon Mak , C. F. Jeff Wu

Correlations between velocity measurements in disk galaxy rotation curves are usually neglected when fitting dynamical models. Here I show how data correlations can be taken into account in rotation curve decompositions using Gaussian…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2022-11-15 Lorenzo Posti

Photometry from Kepler has revealed the presence of cool starspots on the surfaces of thousands of stars, presenting a wide range of spot morphologies and lifetimes. Understanding the lifetime and evolution of starspots across the main…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-25 James R. A. Davenport , Leslie Hebb , Suzanne L. Hawley

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

Stars, and collections of stars, encode rich signatures of stellar physics and galaxy evolution. With properties influenced by both their environment and intrinsic nature, stars retain information about astrophysical phenomena that are not…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-09-23 Kirsten Blancato

Asymmetric features in exoplanet transit light curves are often interpreted as a gravity darkening effect especially if there is spectroscopic evidence of a spin-orbit misalignment. Since other processes can also lead to light curve…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-22 A. Bókon , Sz. Kálmán , I. B. Bíró , M. Gy. Szabó

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Contemporary all-sky surveys have observed thousands of extragalactic transients in the nearby universe, and upcoming surveys will discover exponentially more at higher redshifts. With these large samples, population-level analysis of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 C. Pellegrino , T. A. Pritchard , M. Modjaz , A. Crawford , S. Khakpash , F. Bianco

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu