Related papers: The Method of Cumulants for the Normal Approximati…
In this paper we propose an alternative to the coupling of Berkes, Liu and Wu [1] to obtain strong approximations for partial sums of dependent sequences. The main tool is a new Rosen-thal type inequality expressed in terms of the coupling…
We develop further the recently proposed event-by-event cumulants of azimuthal angles. The role of reflection symmetry, permutation symmetry, frame independence, and relabeling of particle indices in the cumulant expansion is discussed in…
Random graph mixture models are now very popular for modeling real data networks. In these setups, parameter estimation procedures usually rely on variational approximations, either combined with the expectation-maximisation (\textsc{em})…
This article is aimed at the investigation of some properties of the Weibull cumulative exposure model on multiple-step step-stress accelerated life test data. Although the model includes a probabilistic idea of Miner's rule in order to…
Almost 10 years ago, Impagliazzo and Kabanets (2010) gave a new combinatorial proof of Chernoff's bound for sums of bounded independent random variables. Unlike previous methods, their proof is constructive. This means that it provides an…
Motivated by the $(q,\gamma)$-cumulants, introduced by Xu [arXiv:2303.13812] to study $\beta$-deformed singular values of random matrices, we define the $(n,d)$-rectangular cumulants for polynomials of degree $d$ and prove several…
The paper presents improved mathematical models and methods for statistical regularities in the behavior of some important characteristics of precipitation: duration of a wet period, maximum daily and total precipitation volumes within a…
Copulas are now frequently used to construct or estimate multivariate distributions because of their ability to take into account the multivariate dependence of the different variables while separately specifying marginal distributions.…
In this paper we show how to apply classical probabilistic tools for partial sums $\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}\varphi\circ\tau^j$ generated by a skew product $\tau$, built over a sufficiently well mixing base map and a random expanding dynamical…
An alternative parametric description for discrete random variables, called muculants, is proposed. In contrast to cumulants, muculants are based on the Fourier series expansion, rather than on the Taylor series expansion, of the logarithm…
This paper presents a method for fitting a copula-driven generalized linear mixed models. For added flexibility, the skew-normal copula is adopted for fitting. The correlation matrix of the skew-normal copula is used to capture the…
Cumulants linearize convolution of measures. We use a formula of Good to define noncommutative cumulants in a very general setting.It turns out that the essential property needed is exchangeability of random variables. Roughly speaking the…
The proximal generalized alternating direction method of multipliers (p-GADMM) is substantially efficient for solving convex composite programming problems of high-dimensional to moderate accuracy. The global convergence of this method was…
Consider a measure $\mu_\lambda = \sum_x \xi_x \delta_x$ where the sum is over points $x$ of a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda$ on a bounded region in $d$-space, and $\xi_x$ is a functional determined by the Poisson points near…
We derive normal approximation bounds for generalized $U$-statistics of the form \begin{equation*} S_{n,k}(f):=\sum_{ 1 \leq \beta (1),\dots,\beta (k) \leq n \atop \beta (i)\ne\beta (j), \ 1\leq i\ne j \leq k} f\big(X_{\beta…
Cumulants are a notion that comes from the classical probability theory, they are an alternative to a notion of moments. We adapt the probabilistic concept of cumulants to the setup of a linear space equipped with two multiplication…
This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback--Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and…
We introduce a cumulant-expansion framework for quantifying how large language models (LLMs) internalize higher-order statistical structure during next-token prediction. By treating the softmax entropy of each layer's logit distribution as…
In this paper, we present a general realizability semantics for the simply typed $\lambda\mu$-calculus. Then, based on this semantics, we derive both weak and strong normalization results for two versions of the $\lambda\mu$-calculus…
Intractable distributions present a common difficulty in inference within the probabilistic knowledge representation framework and variational methods have recently been popular in providing an approximate solution. In this article, we…