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For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

The solar wind, a stream of charged particles originating from the Sun and transcending interplanetary space, poses risks to technology and astronauts. In this work, we develop a prediction model to forecast the solar wind speed at the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Daniel Collin , Yuri Shprits , Stefan J. Hofmeister , Stefano Bianco , Guillermo Gallego

In contemporary power systems, energy consumption prediction plays a crucial role in maintaining grid stability and resource allocation enabling power companies to minimize energy waste and avoid overloading the grid. While there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Aayam Bansal , Keertan Balaji , Zeus Lalani

This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

We explore the capabilities of time-dependent (TD) magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind simulations with the coupled WSA model of the solar corona and GAMERA model of the inner heliosphere. We compare TD with steady state (SS) simulations…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-26 Evangelia Samara , Elena Provornikova , C. Nick Arge , Andrew McCubbin , Viacheslav G. Merkin

Wind energy makes a significant contribution to global power generation. Predicting wind turbine capacity is becoming increasingly crucial for cleaner production. For this purpose, a new information priority accumulated grey model with time…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Jie Xia , Xin Ma , Wenqing Wu , Baolian Huang , Wanpeng Li

The increasing installation rate of wind power poses great challenges to the global power system. In order to ensure the reliable operation of the power system, it is necessary to accurately forecast the wind speed and power of the wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yang Yang , Jin Lang , Jian Wu , Yanyan Zhang , Xiang Zhao

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

In this paper, a model predictive control scheme for wind farms is presented. Our approach considers wake dynamics including their influence on local wind conditions and allows to track a given power reference. In detail, a Gaussian wake…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Arnold Sterle , Christian A. Hans , Jörg Raisch

Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

Today, low-altitude fixed-wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are largely limited to primitively follow user-defined waypoints. To allow fully-autonomous remote missions in complex environments, real-time environment-aware navigation is…

Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular nature of directional data, error accumulation in multi-step forecasting, and complex meteorological…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Hailong Shu , Weiwei Song , Yue Wang , Jiping Zhang

We propose a novel Energy-Predictive Drone Service (EPDS) framework for efficient package delivery within a skyway network. The EPDS framework incorporates a formal modeling of an EPDS and an adaptive bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Guanting Ren , Babar Shahzaad , Balsam Alkouz , Abdallah Lakhdari , Athman Bouguettaya

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

This paper investigates the influence of incorporating spatiotemporal wind data on the performance of wind forecasting neural networks. While previous studies have shown that including spatial data enhances the accuracy of such models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Heesoo Shin , Mario Rüttgers , Sangseung Lee

This study assesses global offshore wind energy resources, wake-induced losses, array layout optimisation potential and climate change impacts. Global offshore ambient potential is first mapped based on reanalysis data. Wake-induced losses…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Simon C Warder , Matthew D Piggott

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in wind speed forecasting is a critical challenge in wind power production due to the inherently volatile nature of wind. By quantifying the associated risks and returns, UQ supports more effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Pritam Anand , Aadesh Minz , Asish Joel

Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Damith Senanayake , Saman Halgamuge

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Wind has the potential to make a significant contribution to future energy resources. Locating the sources of this renewable energy on a global scale is however extremely challenging, given the difficulty to store very large data sets…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Jaehong Jeong , Stefano Castruccio , Paola Crippa , Marc G. Genton