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We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

This paper describes a recursive estimation procedure for multivariate binary densities (probability distributions of vectors of Bernoulli random variables) using orthogonal expansions. For $d$ covariates, there are $2^d$ basis coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-03 Maxim Raginsky , Jorge Silva , Svetlana Lazebnik , Rebecca Willett

We address the problem of nonparametric estimation of characteristics for stationary and ergodic time series. We consider finite-alphabet time series and real-valued ones and the following four problems: i) estimation of the (limiting)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-11-01 Boris Ryabko

In the multidimensional setting, we consider the errors-in-variables model. We aim at estimating the unknown nonparametric multivariate regression function with errors in the covariates. We devise an adaptive estimator based on projection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Michaël Chichignoud , Van Ha Hoang , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc , Vincent Rivoirard

We consider a recursive algorithm to construct an aggregated estimator from a finite number of base decision rules in the classification problem. The estimator approximately minimizes a convex risk functional under the l1-constraint. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Alexandre Tsybakov , Nicolas Vayatis

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros

In this paper, we further develop the approach, originating in [14 (arXiv:1311.6765),20 (arXiv:1604.02576)], to "computation-friendly" hypothesis testing and statistical estimation via Convex Programming. Specifically, we focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

Synthesizing information from multiple data sources is crucial for constructing accurate individualized treatment rules (ITRs). However, privacy concerns often present significant barriers to the integrative analysis of such multi-source…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Jingxiao Zhang , Canyi Chen

In the context of high-dimensional linear regression models, we propose an algorithm of exact support recovery in the setting of noisy compressed sensing where all entries of the design matrix are independent and identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Mohamed Ndaoud , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Information from various data sources is increasingly available nowadays. However, some of the data sources may produce biased estimation due to commonly encountered biased sampling, population heterogeneity, or model misspecification. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao

In this paper we develop a data-driven smoothing technique for high-dimensional and non-linear panel data models. We allow for individual specific (non-linear) functions and estimation with econometric or machine learning methods by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-06 Xi Chen , Ye Luo , Martin Spindler

In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

The problem of estimation of density functionals like entropy and mutual information has received much attention in the statistics and information theory communities. A large class of estimators of functionals of the probability density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Kumar Sricharan , Dennis Wei , Alfred O. Hero

In this paper, we address the problem of estimating a multidimensional density $f$ by using indirect observations from the statistical model $Y=X+\varepsilon$. Here, $\varepsilon$ is a measurement error independent of the random vector $X$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Gilles Rebelles

We consider the problem of estimating the density $g$ of identically distributed variables $X\_i$, from a sample $Z\_1, ..., Z\_n$ where $Z\_i=X\_i+\sigma\epsilon\_i$, $i=1, ..., n$ and $\sigma \epsilon\_i$ is a noise independent of $X\_i$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-11 Fabienne Comte , Yves Rozenholc , Marie-Luce Taupin

Attention to data-driven optimization approaches, including the well-known stochastic gradient descent method, has grown significantly over recent decades, but data-driven constraints have rarely been studied, because of the computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Shuoguang Yang , Xudong Li , Guanghui Lan

We study an unbiased estimator for the density of a sum of random variables that are simulated from a computer model. A numerical study on examples with copula dependence is conducted where the proposed estimator performs favourably in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Patrick J. Laub , Robert Salomone , Zdravko I. Botev

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li
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