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A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

Item nonresponse is frequently encountered in practice. Ignoring missing data can lose efficiency and lead to misleading inference. Fractional imputation is a frequentist approach of imputation for handling missing data. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

We study high-dimensional, ridge-regularized logistic regression in a setting in which the covariates may be missing or corrupted by additive noise. When both the covariates and the additive corruptions are independent and normally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Kabir Aladin Verchand , Andrea Montanari

Multiple imputation is a highly recommended technique to deal with missing data, but the application to longitudinal datasets can be done in multiple ways. When a new wave of longitudinal data arrives, we can treat the combined data of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 X. M. Kavelaars , S. van Buuren , J. R. van Ginkel

Two different approaches exist to handle missing values for prediction: either imputation, prior to fitting any predictive algorithms, or dedicated methods able to natively incorporate missing values. While imputation is widely (and easily)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This article introduces a new nonparametric method for estimating a univariate regression function of bounded variation. The method exploits the Jordan decomposition which states that a function of bounded variation can be decomposed as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Arnaud Guyader , Nick Hengartner , Nicolas Jégou , Eric Matzner-Løber

Nonparametric and machine learning methods are flexible methods for obtaining accurate predictions. Nowadays, data sets with a large number of predictors and complex structures are fairly common. In the presence of item nonresponse,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

This paper is concerned with non-parametric estimation of the entropy in ranked set sampling. Theoretical properties of the proposed estimator are studied. The proposed estimator is compared with the rival estimator in simple random…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-16 Morteza Amini , Mahdi Mahdizadeh

This paper studies transfer learning for ridge-regularized robust linear regression in the moderate-dimensional regime, where the number of predictors is of the same order as the sample size and the regression coefficients are not assumed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Lingfeng Lyu , Xiao Guo , Zongqi Liu

Needlets have been recognized as state-of-the-art tools to tackle spherical data, due to their excellent localization properties in both spacial and frequency domains. This paper considers developing kernel methods associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Shaobo Lin

Incomplete covariate vectors are known to be problematic for estimation and inferences on model parameters, but their impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop an imputation-free method that builds on a random…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Matthew J. Heiner , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

We propose a sound field estimation method based on kernel ridge regression using a rigid spherical microphone array. Kernel ridge regression with physically constrained kernel functions, and further with kernel functions adapted to…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-06 Ryo Matsuda , Juliano G. C. Ribeiro , Hitoshi Akiyama , Jorge Trevino

Linear regression on network-linked observations has been an essential tool in modeling the relationship between response and covariates with additional network structures. Previous methods either lack inference tools or rely on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

Conformal prediction is a method of producing prediction sets that can be applied on top of a wide range of prediction algorithms. The method has a guaranteed coverage probability under the standard IID assumption regardless of whether the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vovk

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

In this contribution, we propose a kernel-based method for the identification of linear systems from noisy and incomplete input-output datasets. We model the impulse response of the system as a Gaussian process whose covariance matrix is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-18 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson
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