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The prediction of solar flares is typically formulated as a binary classification task, distinguishing events as either Flare (FL) or No-Flare (NF) according to a specified threshold (for example, greater than or equal to C-class, M-class,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Chetraj Pandey , Jinsu Hong , Anli Ji , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

An all-clear flare prediction is a type of solar flare forecasting that puts more emphasis on predicting non-flaring instances (often relatively small flares and flare quiet regions) with high precision while still maintaining valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Rafal Angryk

The impact of soiling on solar panels is an important and well-studied problem in renewable energy sector. In this paper, we present the first convolutional neural network (CNN) based approach for solar panel soiling and defect analysis.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-20 Sachin Mehta , Amar P. Azad , Saneem A. Chemmengath , Vikas Raykar , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

We apply a convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify and detect quasars in the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Stripe 82 and also to predict the photometric redshifts of quasars. The network takes the variability of objects into account by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Johanna Pasquet-Itam , Jérôme Pasquet

Traditional estimators of the galaxy power spectrum and bispectrum are sensitive to the survey geometry. They yield spectra that differ from the true underlying signal since they are convolved with the window function of the survey. For the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-20 Davit Alkhanishvili , Cristiano Porciani , Emiliano Sefusatti

Multivariate time series classification is increasingly investigated in space weather research as a means to predict intense solar flare events, which can cause widespread disruptions across modern technological systems. Magnetic field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Onur Vural , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

Solar flares originate from magnetically active regions but not all solar active regions give rise to a flare. Therefore, the challenge of solar flare prediction benefits by an intelligent computational analysis of physics-based properties…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-09 Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Anna Maria Massone , D Shaun Bloomfield , Manolis K Georgoulis , Michele Piana

Recently, there has been a surge of research on data-driven weather forecasting systems, especially applications based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These are usually trained on atmospheric data represented on regular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-18 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

Structures in the solar corona are the main drivers of space weather processes that might directly or indirectly affect the Earth. Thanks to the most recent space-based solar observatories, with capabilities to acquire high-resolution…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-23 Šimon Mackovjak , Martin Harman , Viera Maslej-Krešňáková , Peter Butka

Deep learning, particularly convolutional neural networks for image recognition, has been recently used in meteorology. One of the promising applications is developing a statistical surrogate model that converts the output images of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-22 Tsuyoshi Thomas Sekiyama

Deep learning models have recently achieved significant performance improvements in time series forecasting. We present a highly accurate and simply structured CNN-based model with only one convolutional layer, called WinNet, including (i)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Wenjie Ou , Zhishuo Zhao , Dongyue Guo , Zheng Zhang , Yi Lin

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) possess many positive qualities when it comes to spatial raster data. Translation invariance enables CNNs to detect features regardless of their position in the scene. However, in some domains, like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Arnas Uselis , Mantas Lukoševičius , Lukas Stasytis

Solar flares are one of the most energetic events in the solar system, their impact on Earth at ground level and its atmosphere remains under study. The repercussions of this phenomenon in our technological infrastructure includes radio…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-29 V. De la Luz , E. P. Balanzario , T. Tsiftsi

Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-19 Ruiguo Yu , Zhiqiang Liu , Xuewei Li , Wenhuan Lu , Mei Yu , Jianrong Wang , Bin Li

Many questions must be answered before understanding the relationship between the emerging magnetic flux through the solar surface and the extreme geoeffective events. The main ingredients for getting X-ray class flares and large…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-22 Brigitte Schmieder , Jinhan Guo , Guillaume Aulanier , Anwesha Maharana , Stefaan Poedts

Monitoring of the Sun and its activity is a task of growing importance in the frame of space weather research and awareness. Major space weather disturbances at Earth have their origin in energetic outbursts from the Sun: solar flares,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-09 Astrid M. Veronig , Werner Pötzi

Solar flares are highly energetic events that happen in the solar atmosphere. They are mostly observed as X-ray or gamma-ray bursts located on the Sun's surface. While they are known to be sites of particle acceleration, the acceleration…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-25 Jonathan Mauro , Gwenhaël de Wasseige

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are one of the most crucial aspects of space weather. Their prediction depends on various factors including the source solar eruptions such as flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The Geostationary…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-16 Sumanth A. Rotti , Petrus C. Martens

One of the limiting factors in training data-driven, rare-event prediction algorithms is the scarcity of the events of interest resulting in an extreme imbalance in the data. There have been many methods introduced in the literature for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Yang Chen , Dustin J. Kempton , Azim Ahmadzadeh , Rafal A. Angryk

We present the results from the first ensemble prediction model for major solar flares (M and X classes). The primary aim of this investigation is to explore the construction of an ensemble for an initial prototyping of this new concept.…

Space Physics · Physics 2016-01-20 J. A. Guerra , A. Pulkkinen , V. M. Uritsky
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