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In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

Determining the reachable set for a given nonlinear system is critically important for autonomous trajectory planning for reach-avoid applications and safety critical scenarios. Providing the reachable set is generally impossible when the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Taha Shafa , Melkior Ornik

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme to estimate the states and the unknown constant parameters of general nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. The proposed framework and analysis explicitly do not involve the a priori…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-22 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

Agent behavior is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty in trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. This problem has motivated significant amounts of work in the behavior prediction community on learning rich distributions of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

This paper presents a time-optimal Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems subject to multiplicative uncertainties represented by interval matrices. To render the uncertainty propagation computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

The discrete moment problem is a foundational problem in distribution-free robust optimization, where the goal is to find a worst-case distribution that satisfies a given set of moments. This paper studies the discrete moment problems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Xi Chen , Simai He , Bo Jiang , Christopher Thomas Ryan , Teng Zhang

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

Goals for planning problems are typically conceived of as subsets of the state space. However, for many practical planning problems in robotics, we expect the robot to predict goals, e.g. from noisy sensors or by generalizing learned models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Adam Conkey , Tucker Hermans

Many systems such as autonomous vehicles and quadrotors are subject to parametric uncertainties and external disturbances. These uncertainties can lead to undesired performance degradation and safety issues. Therefore, it is important to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-09 Huishan Chen , Zheng Zhang

Continuous-time random disturbances (also called stochastic excitations) due to increasing renewable generation have an increasing impact on power system dynamics; However, except from the Monte Carlo simulation, most existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

The prescribed-time stabilization problem for a general class of nonlinear systems with unknown input gain and appended dynamics (with unmeasured state) is addressed. Unlike the asymptotic stabilization problem, the prescribed-time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

Given a stochastic dynamical system modelled via stochastic differential equations (SDEs), we evaluate the safety of the system through characterizations of its exit time moments. We lift the (possibly nonlinear) dynamics into the space of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-19 Peter Du , Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Roy Dong

Networked discrete dynamical systems are often used to model the spread of contagions and decision-making by agents in coordination games. Fixed points of such dynamical systems represent configurations to which the system converges. In the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Zirou Qiu , Chen Chen , Madhav V. Marathe , S. S. Ravi , Daniel J. Rosenkrantz , Richard E. Stearns , Anil Vullikanti

We develop a probabilistic characterisation of trajectorial expansion rates in non-autonomous stochastic dynamical systems that can be defined over a finite time interval and used for the subsequent uncertainty quantification in Lagrangian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

We consider a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. Such uncertainty not only comes from the fact that the true probability law of the underlying stochastic process is unknown, but the parametric family…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

We develop a general theory dealing with stochastic models for dynamical systems that are governed by various nonlinear, ordinary or partial differential, equations. In particular, we address the problem how flows in the random medium…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Piotr Garbaczewski
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