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The correct characterization of uncertainty when predicting human motion is equally important as the accuracy of this prediction. We present a new method to correctly predict the uncertainty associated with the predicted distribution of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Aleksey Postnikov , Aleksander Gamayunov , Gonzalo Ferrer

Variational analysis provides the theoretical foundations and practical tools for constructing optimization algorithms without being restricted to smooth or convex problems. We survey the central concepts in the context of a concrete but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Johannes O. Royset

Multivariate regression techniques are commonly applied to explore the associations between large numbers of outcomes and predictors. In real-world applications, the outcomes are often of mixed types, including continuous measurements,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Aditya Mishra , Dipak K. Dey , Yong Chen , Kun Chen

Extending results of Harg{\'e} and Hu for the Gaussian measure, we prove inequalities for the covariance Cov$_\mu(f, g)$ where $\mu$ is a general product probability measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and $f,g: \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}$ satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Michel Bonnefont , Erwan Hillion , Adrien Saumard

We consider multi-task learning, which simultaneously learns related prediction tasks, to improve generalization performance. We factorize a coefficient matrix as the product of two matrices based on a low-rank assumption. These matrices…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-14 Jun-Yong Jeong , Chi-Hyuck Jun

We consider the classification problem of a high-dimensional mixture of two Gaussians with general covariance matrices. Using the replica method from statistical physics, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of a general class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Hanwen Huang , Peng Zeng

In information theory, some optimization problems result in convex optimization problems on strictly convex functionals of probability densities. In this note, we study these problems and show conditions of minimizers and the uniqueness of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Tomohiro Nishiyama

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportunity to get an insight about several aspects of uncertainties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-12 Giulio D'Agostini

In the context of linear regression, we construct a data-driven convex loss function with respect to which empirical risk minimisation yields optimal asymptotic variance in the downstream estimation of the regression coefficients. At the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Oliver Y. Feng , Yu-Chun Kao , Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth

We present an algorithm to approximate the solutions to variational problems where set of admissible functions consists of convex functions. The main motivator behind this numerical method is estimating solutions to Adverse Selection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Ivar Ekeland , Santiago Moreno

Log-linear models are a well-established method for describing statistical dependencies among a set of n random variables. The observed frequencies of the n-tuples are explained by a joint probability such that its logarithm is a sum of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Daniel Herrmann , Dominik Janzing

The theory of convex risk functions has now been well established as the basis for identifying the families of risk functions that should be used in risk averse optimization problems. Despite its theoretical appeal, the implementation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

The paper is devoted to the study, characterizations, and applications of variational convexity of functions, the property that has been recently introduced by Rockafellar together with its strong counterpart. First we show that these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Pham Duy Khanh , Boris S. Mordukhovich , Vo Thanh Phat

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

From an optimizer's perspective, achieving the global optimum for a general nonconvex problem is often provably NP-hard using the classical worst-case analysis. In the case of Cox's proportional hazards model, by taking its statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Jianqing Fan , Wenyan Gong , Qiang Sun

This paper presents the input convex neural network architecture. These are scalar-valued (potentially deep) neural networks with constraints on the network parameters such that the output of the network is a convex function of (some of)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-15 Brandon Amos , Lei Xu , J. Zico Kolter

We consider the well-studied problem of predicting the time-varying covariance matrix of a vector of financial returns. Popular methods range from simple predictors like rolling window or exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) to more…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-27 Kasper Johansson , Mehmet Giray Ogut , Markus Pelger , Thomas Schmelzer , Stephen Boyd

As machine learning-based prediction systems are increasingly used in high-stakes situations, it is important to understand how such predictive models will perform upon deployment. Distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

Diffusion models can generate a variety of high-quality images by modeling complex data distributions. Trained diffusion models can also be very effective image priors for solving inverse problems. Most of the existing diffusion-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-01 Nebiyou Yismaw , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , M. Salman Asif
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