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Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data is important in many engineering and scientific applications. Recent state-of-the-art works ignore the inter-relations between variates, using their model on each variate independently.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Liran Nochumsohn , Hedi Zisling , Omri Azencot

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

In this paper, we investigate the matrix estimation problem in the multi-response regression model with measurement errors. A nonconvex error-corrected estimator based on a combination of the amended loss function and the nuclear norm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Enrico Maiorino , Michael C. Kampffmeyer , Antonello Rizzi , Robert Jenssen

Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Substantial progress has been made recently on developing provably accurate and efficient algorithms for low-rank matrix factorization via nonconvex optimization. While conventional wisdom often takes a dim view of nonconvex optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Yuejie Chi , Yue M. Lu , Yuxin Chen

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis

Motivated by a dataset of burglaries in Chicago, USA, we introduce a novel framework to analyze time series of count data combining common multivariate time series models with latent position network models. This novel methodology allows us…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-26 Hardeep Kaur , Riccardo Rastelli

We study the problem of estimating multiple linear regression equations for the purpose of both prediction and variable selection. Following recent work on multi-task learning Argyriou et al. [2008], we assume that the regression vectors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-21 Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Sara van de Geer

Recently, tensor time-series forecasting has gained increasing attention, whose core requirement is how to perform dimensionality reduction. In this paper, we establish a least square optimization model by combining tensor singular value…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Haoning Wang , Liping Zhang

Devising efficient algorithms that track the optimizers of continuously varying convex optimization problems is key in many applications. A possible strategy is to sample the time-varying problem at constant rate and solve the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrea Simonetto

Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Lukas Brinkmeyer , Rafael Rego Drumond , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Recent developments in engineering techniques for spatial data collection such as geographic information systems have resulted in an increasing need for methods to analyze large spatial data sets. These sorts of data sets can be found in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Toshihiro Hirano

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

In many real-world applications, optimization problems evolve continuously over time and are often subject to stochastic noise. We consider a stochastic time-varying optimization problem in which the objective function $f(x;t)$ changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Tomoya Kamijima , Naoki Marumo , Akiko Takeda

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

Low rank tensor learning, such as tensor completion and multilinear multitask learning, has received much attention in recent years. In this paper, we propose higher order matching pursuit for low rank tensor learning problems with a convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yuning Yang , Siamak Mehrkanoon , Johan A. K. Suykens

Low-rank modeling has a lot of important applications in machine learning, computer vision and social network analysis. While the matrix rank is often approximated by the convex nuclear norm, the use of nonconvex low-rank regularizers has…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-02 Quanming Yao , James T. Kwok , Wenliang Zhong

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is an unsolved problem in autonomous driving with various open research questions. State-of-the-art approaches regress trajectories either in a one-shot or step-wise manner. Although one-shot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Faris Janjoš , Max Keller , Maxim Dolgov , J. Marius Zöllner