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We study the complexity of evaluating queries on probabilistic databases under bag semantics. We focus on self-join free conjunctive queries, and probabilistic databases where occurrences of different facts are independent, which is the…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Martin Grohe , Peter Lindner , Christoph Standke

Based on the probability distribution observed in complex systems and an assumption that the probability distributions of complex systems satisfy a new generalized multiplication, it is proved that the statistical theory of complex systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Jincan Chen , Tie Liu , Zhifu Huang , Guozhen Su

Topological models of empirical and formal inquiry are increasingly prevalent. They have emerged in such diverse fields as domain theory [1, 16], formal learning theory [18], epistemology and philosophy of science [10, 15, 8, 9, 2],…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Konstantin Genin , Kevin T. Kelly

Standard probabilistic models face fundamental challenges such as data scarcity, a large hypothesis space, and poor data transparency. To address these challenges, we propose a novel probabilistic model of data-driven temporal propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Hiroyuki Kido

Diffusion models have quickly become the go-to paradigm for generative modelling of perceptual signals (such as images and sound) through iterative refinement. Their success hinges on the fact that the underlying physical phenomena are…

Continuous diffusion models are commonly acknowledged to display a deterministic probability flow, whereas discrete diffusion models do not. In this paper, we aim to establish the fundamental theory for the probability flow of discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Pengze Zhang , Hubery Yin , Chen Li , Xiaohua Xie

Stochastic dynamical systems arise naturally across nearly all areas of science and engineering. Typically, a dynamical system model is based on some prior knowledge about the underlying dynamics of interest in which probabilistic features…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Chao Yin , Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

We propose a framework for modeling uncertainty where both belief and doubt can be given independent, first-class status. We adopt probability theory as the mathematical formalism for manipulating uncertainty. An agent can express the…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Laks V. S. Lakshmanan , Fereidoon Sadri

Several probability distributions have been proposed in the literature, especially with the aim of obtaining models that are more flexible relative to the behaviors of the density and hazard rate functions. Recently, a new generalization of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 K. V. P. Barco , J. Mazucheli , V. Janeiro

We address the problem of supporting empirical probabilities in monadic logic databases. Though the semantics of multivalued logic programs has been studied extensively, the treatment of probabilities as results of statistical findings has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Raymond T. Ng , V. S. Subrahmanian

There are two prominent paradigms to the modeling of networks: in the first, referred to as the mechanistic approach, one specifies a set of domain-specific mechanistic rules that are used to grow or evolve the network over time; in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-24 Ravi Goyal , JP Onnela

Probabilistic programming methods have revolutionised Bayesian inference, making it easier than ever for practitioners to perform Markov-chain-Monte-Carlo sampling from non-conjugate posterior distributions. Here we focus on Stan, arguably…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-10 Clemens Pichler , Jack Jewson , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

Latent space models are powerful statistical tools for modeling and understanding network data. While the importance of accounting for uncertainty in network analysis has been well recognized, the current literature predominantly focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Jinming Li , Shihao Wu , Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

This paper addresses two central problems for probabilistic processing models: parameter estimation from incomplete data and efficient retrieval of most probable analyses. These questions have been answered satisfactorily only for…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Stefan Riezler

Probabilistic programming allows specification of probabilistic models in a declarative manner. Recently, several new software systems and languages for probabilistic programming have been developed on the basis of newly developed and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-04 Gabriel Kronberger

The validation of any database mining methodology goes through an evaluation process where benchmarks availability is essential. In this paper, we aim to randomly generate relational database benchmarks that allow to check probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-03 Mouna Ben Ishak , Rajani Chulyadyo , Philippe Leray

We investigate statistical properties of a likelihood approach to nonparametric estimation of a singular distribution using deep generative models. More specifically, a deep generative model is used to model high-dimensional data that are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-29 Minwoo Chae , Dongha Kim , Yongdai Kim , Lizhen Lin

Many important stochastic counting models can be written as general birth-death processes (BDPs). BDPs are continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers and can be used to easily parameterize a rich variety of probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We study the problem of predicting numeric labels that are constrained to the integers or to a subrange of the integers. For example, the number of up-votes on social media posts, or the number of bicycles available at a public rental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Bas Maat , Peter Bloem
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