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Diffusion models are gaining widespread use in cutting-edge image, video, and audio generation. Score-based diffusion models stand out among these methods, necessitating the estimation of score function of the input data distribution. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Fangzhao Zhang , Mert Pilanci

Autoregressive neural networks within the temporal point process (TPP) framework have become the standard for modeling continuous-time event data. Even though these models can expressively capture event sequences in a one-step-ahead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 David Lüdke , Marin Biloš , Oleksandr Shchur , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Autoregressive next-step prediction models have become the de-facto standard for building data-driven neural solvers to forecast time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Denoise training that is closely related to diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Zijie Li , Anthony Zhou , Amir Barati Farimani

While time series diffusion models have received considerable focus from many recent works, the performance of existing models remains highly unstable. Factors limiting time series diffusion models include insufficient time series datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jingwei Liu , Ling Yang , Hongyan Li , Shenda Hong

Time series forecasting (TSF) is essential in various domains, and recent advancements in diffusion-based TSF models have shown considerable promise. However, these models typically adopt traditional diffusion patterns, treating TSF as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen

Discrete diffusion models are a powerful class of generative models with strong performance across many domains. For efficiency, however, discrete diffusion typically parameterizes the generative (reverse) process with factorized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Grigory Bartosh , Teodora Pandeva , Sushrut Karmalkar , Javier Zazo

Diffusion models, a family of generative models based on deep learning, have become increasingly prominent in cutting-edge machine learning research. With a distinguished performance in generating samples that resemble the observed data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Lequan Lin , Zhengkun Li , Ruikun Li , Xuliang Li , Junbin Gao

In the Data-Centric Artificial Intelligence (AI) paradigm, improving data quality is essential for robust machine learning. However, many denoising methods rely on rigid statistical assumptions or require clean reference data, which limits…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 J. Javier Alonso-Ramos , Ignacio Aguilera-Martos , Francisco Herrera , Andrés Herrera-Poyatos

This paper introduces WaveGrad, a conditional model for waveform generation which estimates gradients of the data density. The model is built on prior work on score matching and diffusion probabilistic models. It starts from a Gaussian…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-12 Nanxin Chen , Yu Zhang , Heiga Zen , Ron J. Weiss , Mohammad Norouzi , William Chan

We propose the Fourier Adaptive Lite Diffusion Architecture (FALDA), a novel probabilistic framework for time series forecasting. First, we introduce the Diffusion Model for Residual Regression (DMRR) framework, which unifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Xinyan Wang , Rui Dai , Kaikui Liu , Xiangxiang Chu

The paper introduces novel methodologies for the identification of coefficients of switched autoregressive and switched autoregressive exogenous linear models. We consider cases which system's outputs are contaminated by possibly large…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-02 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa , Fabrizio Dabbene

The denoising process of diffusion models can be interpreted as an approximate projection of noisy samples onto the data manifold. Moreover, the noise level in these samples approximates their distance to the underlying manifold. Building…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Abulikemu Abuduweili , Chenyang Yuan , Changliu Liu , Frank Permenter

Generating high-quality synthetic time series is a fundamental yet challenging task across domains such as forecasting and anomaly detection, where real data can be scarce, noisy, or costly to collect. Unlike static data generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

Forecasting faithful trajectories of multivariate time series from practical scopes is essential for reasonable decision-making. Recent methods majorly tailor generative conditional diffusion models to estimate the target temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Hui Xiong

We study a discrete denoising diffusion framework that integrates a sample-efficient estimator of single-site conditionals with round-robin noising and denoising dynamics for generative modeling over discrete state spaces. Rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

Guided diffusion sampling relies on approximating often intractable likelihood scores, which introduces significant noise into the sampling dynamics. We propose using adaptive moment estimation to stabilize these noisy likelihood scores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Christian Belardi , Justin Lovelace , Kilian Q. Weinberger , Carla P. Gomes

Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

We propose self-diffusion, a novel framework for solving inverse problems without relying on pretrained generative models. Traditional diffusion-based approaches require training a model on a clean dataset to learn to reverse the forward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Guanxiong Luo , Shoujin Huang , Yanlong Yang
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