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State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

In this article we propose and develop a new methodology which is inspired from Kalman filtering and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC), entitle the multilevel localized ensemble Kalman--Bucy Filter (MLLEnKBF). Based on the work of Chada et al.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-25 Neil K. Chada

We consider the solution of inverse problems in dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging by means of Ensemble Kalman Filters. Our quantity of interest is blood perfusion, i.e. blood flow rates in tissue. While existing approaches to compute blood…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Peter Zaspel

Filtering is a widely used methodology for the incorporation of observed data into time-evolving systems. It provides an online approach to state estimation inverse problems when data is acquired sequentially. The Kalman filter plays a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Wonjung Lee , Damon McDougall , Andrew Stuart

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

The state-space model and the Kalman filter provide us with unified and computationaly efficient procedure for computing the log-likelihood of the diverse type of time series models. This paper presents an algorithm for computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Genshiro Kitagawa

This paper presents a computationally fast algorithm for estimating, both, the system and observation noise covariances of nonlinear dynamics, that can be used in an ensemble Kalman filtering framework. The new method is a modification of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Yicun Zhen , John Harlim

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-03 Maxime Rischard , Pierre E. Jacob , Natesh Pillai

We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

Standard maximum likelihood or Bayesian approaches to parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations are not robust to perturbations in the continuous-in-time data. In this paper, we give a rather elementary explanation of this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Sebastian Reich

In this paper, we study a generalized Kalman-Bucy filtering problem under uncertainty. The drift uncertainty for both signal process and observation process is considered and the attitude to uncertainty is characterized by a convex operator…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Shaolin Ji , Chuiliu Kong , Chuanfeng Sun , Ji-Feng Zhang

Data assimilation combines dynamical models with observations to improve state estimates. Ensemble filters sequentially assimilate observations by updating a set of samples over time, alternating between a forecast and an analysis step.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-26 Mathieu Le Provost , Jan Glaubitz , Youssef Marzouk

Data assimilation algorithms are used to estimate the states of a dynamical system using partial and noisy observations. The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation scheme due to its simplicity and robustness for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Gottfried Hastermann , Maria Reinhardt , Rupert Klein , Sebastian Reich

Studying the stability of the Kalman filter whose measurements are randomly lost has been an active research topic for over a decade. In this paper we extend the existing results to a far more general setting in which the measurement…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-19 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Eduardo Rohr , Minyue Fu

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Stochastic parameterizations are increasingly being used to represent the uncertainty associated with model errors in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. One of the challenges associated with the use of these parameterizations is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-23 Guillermo Scheffler , Juan Ruiz , Manuel Pulido

The Ensemble Kalman filter and Ensemble square root filters are data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional nonlinear models with observed data. These methods have proved to be indispensable tools in science and engineering…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Xin T Tong , Andrew J Majda , David Kelly