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We study the problem of approximately transforming a sample from a source statistical model to a sample from a target statistical model without knowing the parameters of the source model, and construct several computationally efficient such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Mengqi Lou , Guy Bresler , Ashwin Pananjady

The present study discuss the problem of estimating the finite population mean using auxiliary attribute in stratified random sampling. In this paper taking the advantage of point bi-serial correlation between the study variable and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Hemant K. Verma , Prayas Sharma , Rajesh Singh

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

Generalizing empirical findings to new environments, settings, or populations is essential in most scientific explorations. This article treats a particular problem of generalizability, called "transportability", defined as a license to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Elias Bareinboim , Judea Pearl

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

In this paper, we study the information transmission problem under the distributed learning framework, where each worker node is merely permitted to transmit a $m$-dimensional statistic to improve learning results of the target node.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Xinyi Tong , Jian Xu , Shao-Lun Huang

The recent proliferation of research into transformer based natural language processing has led to a number of studies which attempt to detect the presence of human-like cognitive behavior in the models. We contend that, as is true of human…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Jesse Roberts , Kyle Moore , Drew Wilenzick , Doug Fisher

We aim for source-free domain adaptation, where the task is to deploy a model pre-trained on source domains to target domains. The challenges stem from the distribution shift from the source to the target domain, coupled with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Mengmeng Jing , Xiantong Zhen , Jingjing Li , Cees G. M. Snoek

Often the goal of model selection is to choose a model for future prediction, and it is natural to measure the accuracy of a future prediction by squared error loss. Under the Bayesian approach, it is commonly perceived that the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Maria Maddalena Barbieri , James O. Berger

Predicting human displacements is crucial for addressing various societal challenges, including urban design, traffic congestion, epidemic management, and migration dynamics. While predictive models like deep learning and Markov models…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Sebastiano Bontorin , Simone Centellegher , Riccardo Gallotti , Luca Pappalardo , Bruno Lepri , Massimiliano Luca

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

The large majority of inferences drawn in empirical political research follow from model-based associations (e.g. regression). Here, we articulate the benefits of predictive modeling as a complement to this approach. Predictive models aim…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Skyler J. Cranmer , Bruce A. Desmarais

Extending (generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a randomized trial to a target population requires ``generalizability'' or ``transportability'' assumptions, which state that randomized and non-randomized individuals are…

We present the fundamentals of a measure transport approach to sampling. The idea is to construct a deterministic coupling---i.e., a transport map---between a complex "target" probability measure of interest and a simpler reference measure.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-27 Youssef Marzouk , Tarek Moselhy , Matthew Parno , Alessio Spantini

Clinicians increasingly rely on prediction models to guide treatment choices. Most prediction models, however, are developed using observational data that include some patients who have already received the treatment the prediction model is…

Methods that address data shifts usually assume full access to multiple datasets. In the healthcare domain, however, privacy-preserving regulations as well as commercial interests limit data availability and, as a result, researchers can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-03 Tal El-Hay , Chen Yanover

We address the problem of ensemble selection in transfer learning: Given a large pool of source models we want to select an ensemble of models which, after fine-tuning on the target training set, yields the best performance on the target…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Andrea Agostinelli , Jasper Uijlings , Thomas Mensink , Vittorio Ferrari

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu

We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana