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Extreme value theory (EVT) is well suited to model extreme events, such as floods, heatwaves, or mechanical failures, which is required for reliability assessment of systems across multiple domains for risk management and loss prevention.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-15 Shehzaib Irfan , Nabeel Ahmad , Alexander Vinel , Daniel F. Silva , Shuai Shao , Nima Shamsaei , Jia Liu

In the traditional simple step-stress partial accelerated life test (SSSPALT), the items are put on normal operating conditions up to a certain time and after that the stress is increased to get the failure time information early. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-02 Rathin Das , Biswabrata Pradhan

High frequency pedestrian motion forecasting when interacting with autonomous vehicles (AVs) can be enhanced through the use of behavioural frameworks, such as discrete choice models, that can explicitly account for correlation among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-03 Rulla Al-Haideri , Bilal Farooq

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. De Campos

Automated multimodal depression estimation in unconstrained environments is inherently challenged by naturalistic noise and complex behavioral variability. Prevailing deterministic methods, however, produce uncalibrated point estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fangyuan Liu , Sirui Zhao , Zeyu Zhang , Jinyang Huang , Feng-Qi Cui , Bin Luo , Meng Li , Tong Xu , Enhong Chen

We provide a method to solve optimization problem when objective function is a complex stochastic simulator of an urban transportation system. To reach this goal, a Bayesian optimization framework is introduced. We show how the choice of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-15 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Missing data represents a fundamental challenge in machine learning applications, often reducing model performance and reliability. This problem is particularly acute in fields like bioinformatics and clinical machine learning, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Fatemeh Azad , Zoran Bosnić , Matjaž Kukar

Variational Bayes (VB), a method originating from machine learning, enables fast and scalable estimation of complex probabilistic models. Thus far, applications of VB in discrete choice analysis have been limited to mixed logit models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-17 Rico Krueger , Prateek Bansal , Michel Bierlaire , Ricardo A. Daziano , Taha H. Rashidi

The use of Agent-Based and Activity-Based modeling in transportation is rising due to the capability of addressing complex applications such as disruptive trends (e.g., remote working and automation) or the design and assessment of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Serio Agriesti , Vladimir Kuzmanovski , Jaakko Hollmén , Claudio Roncoli , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-29 Ariel Kleiner , Ameet Talwalkar , Purnamrita Sarkar , Michael I. Jordan

Recently, the distributed state estimation problem for continuous-time linear systems over jointly connected switching networks was solved. It was shown that the estimation errors will asymptotically converge to the origin by using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Tao Liu , Jie Huang

Machine learning methods are increasingly applied to ergonomic risk assessment in manual material handling, particularly for estimating carried load from gait motion data collected from wearable sensors. However, existing approaches often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Jingyi Gao , Sol Lim , Seokhyun Chung

We propose a novel Bayesian model selection technique on linear mixed-effects models to compare multiple treatments with a control. A fully Bayesian approach is implemented to estimate the marginal inclusion probabilities that provide a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-28 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal , Stephen R. Spindler , Patricia L. Mote

We introduce implicit Deep Adaptive Design (iDAD), a new method for performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models. iDAD amortizes the cost of Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) by learning a design policy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Desi R. Ivanova , Adam Foster , Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann , Tom Rainforth

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Modern perception models, particularly those designed for multisensory egocentric tasks, have achieved remarkable performance but often come with substantial computational costs. These high demands pose challenges for real-world deployment,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Sanjoy Chowdhury , Subrata Biswas , Sayan Nag , Tushar Nagarajan , Calvin Murdock , Ishwarya Ananthabhotla , Yijun Qian , Vamsi Krishna Ithapu , Dinesh Manocha , Ruohan Gao

Given a dataset an outlier can be defined as an observation that it is unlikely to follow the statistical properties of the majority of the data. Computation of the location estimate of is fundamental in data analysis, and it is well known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 G. Zioutas , C. Chatzinakos , T. D. Nguyen , L. Pitsoulis

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian…