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When considering a model selection or, more generally, an aggregation approach for adaptive statistical inference, it is often necessary to compute estimators over a wide range of model complexities including unnecessarily large models even…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Ilsang Ohn , Shitao Fan , Jungbin Jun , Lizhen Lin

Ecological Momentary Assessments (EMA) capture real-time thoughts and behaviors in natural settings, producing rich longitudinal data for statistical and physiological analyses. However, the robustness of these analyses can be compromised…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Yiheng Wei , Donald Hedeker

Finite mixture model is an important branch of clustering methods and can be applied on data sets with mixed types of variables. However, challenges exist in its applications. First, it typically relies on the EM algorithm which could be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Shu Wang , Jonathan G. Yabes , Chung-Chou H. Chang

This paper is a contribution in the context of variational data assimilation combined with statistical learning. The framework of data assimilation traditionally uses data collected at sensor locations in order to bring corrections to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Amina Benaceur , Barbara Verfürth

Intuitive human-machine interfaces may be developed using pattern classification to estimate executed human motions from electromyogram (EMG) signals generated during muscle contraction. The continual use of EMG-based interfaces gradually…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Seitaro Yoneda , Akira Furui

Inference for models with recursively defined likelihoods is computationally demanding, limiting scalability to large datasets. We propose a stabilised weighted subsampling methodology for accelerated inference based on an unbiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Matias Quiroz , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Zixuan Wang , Thomas Goodwin

This study explores the potential of small language model(SLM) ensembles to achieve accuracy comparable to proprietary large language models (LLMs). We propose Ensemble Bayesian Inference (EBI), a novel approach that applies Bayesian…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Haru-Tada Sato , Fuka Matsuzaki , Jun-ichiro Takahashi

A novel strategy is proposed to improve the accuracy of state estimation and reconstruction from low-fidelity models and sparse data from sensors. This strategy combines ensemble Data Assimilation (DA) and Machine Learning (ML) tools,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-31 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

Reduced-order modelling and low-dimensional surrogate models generated using machine learning algorithms have been widely applied in high-dimensional dynamical systems to improve the algorithmic efficiency. In this paper, we develop a…

Data assimilation (DA) has increasingly emerged as a critical tool for state estimation across a wide range of applications. It is significantly challenging when the governing equations of the underlying dynamics are unknown. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

Long-range geophysical forecasts are fundamentally limited by chaotic dynamics and numerical errors. While data assimilation can mitigate these issues, classical variational smoothers require computationally expensive tangent-linear and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with model forecasts to produce optimized atmospheric states, whose physical consistency is critical for stable weather forecasting and reliable climate research. Traditional Bayesian DA…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Hang Fan , Lei Bai , Ben Fei , Yi Xiao , Kun Chen , Yubao Liu , Yongquan Qu , Fenghua Ling , Pierre Gentine

Model-assisted designs have garnered significant attention in recent years due to their high accuracy in identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and their operational simplicity. To identify the MTD, they employ estimated dose limiting…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-19 Rentaro Wakayama , Tomotaka Momozaki , Shuji Ando

The concept of mathematical modeling is widespread across almost all of the fields of contemporary science and engineering. Because of the existing necessity of predictions the behavior of natural phenomena, the researchers develop more and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Marcin Sendera

Accurate digital rock modeling of carbonate rocks is limited by the difficulty in acquiring morphological information on small-scale pore structures. Defined as microporosity phases in computed tomography (micro-CT) images, these…

Imitation learning has shown promise in learning from large-scale real-world datasets. However, pretrained policies usually perform poorly without sufficient in-domain data. Besides, human-collected demonstrations entail substantial labour…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Wenye Yu , Jun Lv , Zixi Ying , Yang Jin , Chuan Wen , Cewu Lu

This study explores the classification error of Mixture Discriminant Analysis (MDA) in scenarios where the number of mixture components exceeds those present in the actual data distribution, a condition known as overspecification. We use a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-03 Arman Bolatov , Alan Legg , Igor Melnykov , Amantay Nurlanuly , Maxat Tezekbayev , Zhenisbek Assylbekov

Data assimilation (DA) combines partial observations with dynamical models to improve state estimation. Filter-based DA uses only past and present data and is the prerequisite for real-time forecasts. Smoother-based DA exploits both past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Yingda Li

Multiple sets of measurements on the same objects obtained from different platforms may reflect partially complementary information of the studied system. The integrative analysis of such data sets not only provides us with the opportunity…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Yipeng Song , Johan A. Westerhuis , Age K. Smilde

A challenge arising from the local Bayesian assimilation of data in an atmospheric flow simulation is the imbalances it may introduce. Acoustic fast-mode imbalances of the order of the slower dynamics can be negated by employing a blended…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Ray Chew , Tommaso Benacchio , Gottfried Hastermann , Rupert Klein
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