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We describe an adaptive importance sampling algorithm for rare events that is based on a dual stochastic control formulation of a path sampling problem. Specifically, we focus on path functionals that have the form of cumulate generating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

Several methods have been proposed in the literature to solve reliability-based optimization problems, where failure probabilities are design constraints. However, few methods address the problem of life-cycle cost or risk optimization,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-09 H. M. Kroetz , M. Moustapha , A. T. Beck , B. Sudret

Inspired by the latest developments in multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods and randomised sketching for linear algebra problems we propose a MLMC estimator for real-time processing of matrix structured random data. Our algorithm is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yue Wu , Nick Polydorides

Utility-based shortfall risk (UBSR), a convex risk measure sensitive to tail losses, has gained popularity in recent years. However, research on computational methods for UBSR optimization remains relatively scarce. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Rufeng Xiao , Zhiping Li , Rujun Jiang

We consider a class of discrete time stochastic control problems motivated by some financial applications. We use a pathwise stochastic control approach to provide a dual formulation of the problem. This enables us to develop a numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-20 Lajos Gergely Gyurko , Ben Hambly , Jan Hendrik Witte

The pricing of American style and multiple exercise options is a very challenging problem in mathematical finance. One usually employs a Least-Square Monte Carlo approach (Longstaff-Schwartz method) for the evaluation of conditional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-19 Gilles Pagès , Benedikt Wilbertz

We discuss suitable classes of diffusion processes, for which functionals relevant to finance can be computed via Monte Carlo methods. In particular, we construct exact simulation schemes for processes from this class. However, should the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-06 Jan Baldeaux , Eckhard Platen

The least-mean-squares (LMS) algorithm is the most popular algorithm in adaptive filtering. Several variable step-size strategies have been suggested to improve the performance of the LMS algorithm. These strategies enhance the performance…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Muhammad Omer Bin Saeed

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of techniques to sample approximately from any sequence of probability distributions using a combination of importance sampling and resampling steps. This paper is concerned with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Ajay Jasra

In a context of illiquidity, the reservation price is a well-accepted alternative to the usual martingale approach which does not apply. However, this price is not available in closed form and requires numerical methods such as Monte Carlo…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-21 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune

The dynamics of magnetic reversal process plays an important role in the design of the magnetic recording devices in the long time scale limit. In addition to long time scale, microscopic effects such as the entropic effect become important…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Hwee Kuan Lee , Yutaka Okabe , X. Cheng , M. B. A. Jalil

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Mike Giles , Yuan Xia

Building the future profit and loss (P&L) distribution of a portfolio holding, among other assets, highly non-linear and path-dependent derivatives is a challenging task. We provide a simple machinery where more and more assets could be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-28 Pietro Rossi , Flavio Cocco , Giacomo Bormetti

A basic simulation-based reinforcement learning algorithm is the Monte Carlo Exploring States (MCES) method, also known as optimistic policy iteration, in which the value function is approximated by simulated returns and a greedy policy is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Jun Liu

As one of the recently proposed algorithms for sparse system identification, $l_0$ norm constraint Least Mean Square ($l_0$-LMS) algorithm modifies the cost function of the traditional method with a penalty of tap-weight sparsity. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-04 Guolong Su , Jian Jin , Yuantao Gu , Jian Wang

We develop a new approach for the estimation of a multivariate function based on the economic axioms of quasiconvexity (and monotonicity). On the computational side, we prove the existence of the quasiconvex constrained least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Somabha Mukherjee , Rohit K. Patra , Andrew L. Johnson , Hiroshi Morita

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

This paper presents four different ways of looking at the well-known Least Squares Temporal Differences (LSTD) algorithm for computing the value function of a Markov Reward Process, each of them leading to different insights: the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-06 Kamil Ciosek

We develop two Regression Monte Carlo algorithms (value and performance iteration) to solve general problems of optimal stochastic control of discrete-time Markov processes. We formulate our method within an innovative framework that allow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Alessandro Balata , Jan Palczewski
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