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Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Smit Marvaniya , Jitendra Singh , Nicolas Galichet , Fred Ochieng Otieno , Geeth De Mel , Kommy Weldemariam

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Wide accessibility of imaging and profile sensors in modern industrial systems created an abundance of high-dimensional sensing variables. This led to a a growing interest in the research of high-dimensional process monitoring. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Nurettin Sergin , Hao Yan

As a widely recognized approach to deep generative modeling, Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) still face challenges with the quality of generated images, often presenting noticeable blurriness. This issue stems from the unrealistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Georgios Batzolis , Jan Stanczuk , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

The joint optimization of the reconstruction and classification error is a hard non convex problem, especially when a non linear mapping is utilized. In order to overcome this obstacle, a novel optimization strategy is proposed, in which a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Ioannis A. Nellas , Sotiris K. Tasoulis , Vassilis P. Plagianakos , Spiros V. Georgakopoulos

In many areas of decision-making, forecasting is an essential pillar. Consequently, many different forecasting methods have been proposed. From our experience, recently presented forecasting methods are computationally intensive, poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 André Bauer , Mark Leznik , Michael Stenger , Robert Leppich , Nikolas Herbst , Samuel Kounev , Ian Foster

Clinical case reports encode temporal patient trajectories that are often underexploited by traditional machine learning methods relying on structured data. In this work, we introduce the forecasting problem from textual time series, where…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Shahriar Noroozizadeh , Sayantan Kumar , Jeremy C. Weiss

Recent research has challenged the necessity of complex deep learning architectures for time series forecasting, demonstrating that simple linear models can often outperform sophisticated approaches. Building upon this insight, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Remi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

Learning generative probabilistic models is a core problem in machine learning, which presents significant challenges due to the curse of dimensionality. This paper proposes a joint dimensionality reduction and non-parametric density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Magda Amiridi , Nikos Kargas , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

We tackle the problem disentangling the latent space of an autoencoder in order to separate labelled attribute information from other characteristic information. This then allows us to change selected attributes while preserving other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Xiao Li , Chenghua Lin , Ruizhe Li , Chaozheng Wang , Frank Guerin

Non-stationary time series with non-linear trends are frequently encountered in applications. We consider here the feasibility of accurately forecasting the signals of multiple such time series considering jointly when the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Kerry Fendick

Probabilistic models with discrete latent variables naturally capture datasets composed of discrete classes. However, they are difficult to train efficiently, since backpropagation through discrete variables is generally not possible. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-25 Jason Tyler Rolfe

Latent Gaussian models have a rich history in statistics and machine learning, with applications ranging from factor analysis to compressed sensing to time series analysis. The classical method for maximizing the likelihood of these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Alexander Lin , Bahareh Tolooshams , Yves Atchadé , Demba Ba

Powerful deep learning tools, such as convolutional neural networks (CNN), are able to learn the input-output relationships of large complicated systems directly from data. Encoder-decoder deep CNNs are able to extract features directly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Alexander Scheinker , Frederick Cropp , Sergio Paiagua , Daniele Filippetto

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

Many important problems in the real world don't have unique solutions. It is thus important for machine learning models to be capable of proposing different plausible solutions with meaningful probability measures. In this work we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Di Qiu , Lok Ming Lui

Most machine learning methods assume fixed probability distributions, limiting their applicability in nonstationary real-world scenarios. While continual learning methods address this issue, current approaches often rely on black-box models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yan V. G. Ferreira , Igor B. Lima , Pedro H. G. Mapa S. , Felipe V. Campos , Antonio P. Braga

Making accurate forecasts for a complex system is a challenge in various practical applications. The major difficulty in solving such a problem concerns nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamics with time-varying characteristics. Takens' delay…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-09 Hao Peng , Wei Wang , Pei Chen , Rui Liu

Self-supervised learning has garnered increasing attention in time series analysis for benefiting various downstream tasks and reducing reliance on labeled data. Despite its effectiveness, existing methods often struggle to comprehensively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Daoyu Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu
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