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Related papers: Violent Crime in London: An Investigation using Ge…

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To obtain operational insights regarding the crime of burglary in London we consider the estimation of effects of covariates on the intensity of spatial point patterns. By taking into account localised properties of criminal behaviour, we…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-25 Jan Povala , Seppo Virtanen , Mark Girolami

There is significant interest in being able to predict where crimes will happen, for example to aid in the efficient tasking of police and other protective measures. We aim to model both the temporal and spatial dependencies often exhibited…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-23 Sivan Aldor-Noiman , Lawrence D. Brown , Emily B. Fox , Robert A. Stine

In this work, we provide empirical evidence on organized criminal groups' (OCGs) behavior across the Liverpool area in the U.K. (Merseyside). We find that violent crimes concerning OCGs concentrate in the areas yielding the highest revenue,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Paolo Campana. Andrea Giovannetti , Paolo Pin , Roberto Rozzi

In this paper, we present a novel approach to predict crime in a geographic space from multiple data sources, in particular mobile phone and demographic data. The main contribution of the proposed approach lies in using aggregated and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-09-11 Andrey Bogomolov , Bruno Lepri , Jacopo Staiano , Nuria Oliver , Fabio Pianesi , Alex Pentland

This project uses a spatial model (Geographically Weighted Regression) to relate various physical and social features to crime rates. Besides making interesting predictions from basic data statistics, the trained model can be used to…

Existing approaches to the crime prediction problem are unsuccessful in expressing the details since they assign the probability values to large regions. This paper introduces a new architecture with the graph convolutional networks (GCN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Selim Furkan Tekin , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Analyses of occurrences of residential burglary in urban areas have shown that crime rates are not spatially homogeneous: rates vary across the network of city streets, resulting in some areas being far more susceptible to crime than…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-02 Elizabeth Upton , Luis Carvalho

The geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a well-known statistical approach to explore spatial non-stationarity of the regression relationship in spatial data analysis. In this paper, we discuss a Bayesian recourse of GWR. Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Yishu Xue , Guanyu Hu

Data mining is the process in which we extract the different patterns and useful Information from large dataset. According to London police, crimes are immediately increases from beginning of 2017 in different borough of London. No useful…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Khawar Islam , Akhter Raza

It is widely known that geographically weighted regression(GWR) is essentially same as varying-coefficient model. In the former research about varying-coefficient model, scholars tend to use multidimensional-kernel-based locally weighted…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-13 Zihao Yuan

Estimating software effort has been a largely unsolved problem for decades. One of the main reasons that hinders building accurate estimation models is the often heterogeneous nature of software data with a complex structure. Typically,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Yousef Alqasrawi , Mohammad Azzeh , Yousef Elsheikh

This article focuses on the use of Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) method to correct air quality low-cost sensors measurements. Those sensors are of major interest in the current era of high-resolution air quality monitoring at…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Jean-Michel Poggi , Bruno Portier , Emma Thulliez

Policy targets are being set increasingly for social and economic variables in the UK. This approach requires that reasonably successful ex ante forecasts can be made. We propose a general methodology for assessing the extent to which this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Ormerod , Laurence Smith

Crime hotspot prediction is critical for ensuring urban safety and effective law enforcement, it remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies that are inherent in criminal activities. The traditional approaches use classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Tehreem Zubair , Syeda Kisaa Fatima , Noman Ahmed , Asifullah Khan

Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is increasingly used in spatial analyses of social and environmental data. It allows spatial heterogeneities in processes and relationships to be investigated through a series of local regression…

The County Lines Model (CLM) is a relatively new illicit drugs distribution method found in Great Britain. The CLM has brought modern slavery and public health issues, while challenging the law-enforcement capacity to act, as coordination…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-29 Leonardo Castro-Gonzalez

In this short article, I leverage the National Crime Victimization Survey from 1992 to 2022 to examine how income, education, employment, and key demographic factors shape the type of crime victims experience (violent vs property). Using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-06 Sydney Anuyah

Spatial regression or geographically weighted regression models have been widely adopted to capture the effects of auxiliary information on a response variable of interest over a region. In contrast, relationships between response and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

Local regression is widely used to explore spatial heterogeneity, but anisotropic or effectively low-dimensional neighborhoods can produce ill-conditioned local solves, causing coefficient variation driven by numerical artifacts rather than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Yuichiro Otani

Scale-adjusted metrics (SAMs) are a significant achievement of the urban scaling hypothesis. SAMs remove the inherent biases of per capita measures computed in the absence of isometric allometries. However, this approach is limited to urban…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-27 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Quentin S. Hanley , Dan Lewis
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