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Recently, Transformer-based models for long sequence time series forecasting have demonstrated promising results. The self-attention mechanism as the core component of these Transformer-based models exhibits great potential in capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Zhicheng Zhang , Yong Wang , Shaoqi Tan , Bowei Xia , Yujie Luo

Recurrent Neural Networks have long been the dominating choice for sequence modeling. However, it severely suffers from two issues: impotent in capturing very long-term dependencies and unable to parallelize the sequential computation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-15 Zhiwei Wang , Yao Ma , Zitao Liu , Jiliang Tang

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

The self-attention mechanism in Transformer architecture, invariant to sequence order, necessitates positional embeddings to encode temporal order in time series prediction. We argue that this reliance on positional embeddings restricts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Yongbo Yu , Weizhong Yu , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

The Transformer is a sequence model that forgoes traditional recurrent architectures in favor of a fully attention-based approach. Besides improving performance, an advantage of using attention is that it can also help to interpret a model…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Jesse Vig

Transformer-based methods have shown great potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, most of these methods adopt the standard point-wise self-attention mechanism, which not only becomes intractable for long-term forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Dazhao Du , Bing Su , Zhewei Wei

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

In both Computer Vision and the wider Deep Learning field, the Transformer architecture is well-established as state-of-the-art for many applications. For Multitask Learning, however, where there may be many more queries necessary compared…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Christian Bohn , Thomas Kurbiel , Klaus Friedrichs , Hasan Tercan , Tobias Meisen

With the rising number of interconnected devices and sensors, modeling distributed sensor networks is of increasing interest. Recurrent neural networks (RNN) are considered particularly well suited for modeling sensory and streaming data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Stephan Baier , Sigurd Spieckermann , Volker Tresp

A variety of real-world applications rely on far future information to make decisions, thus calling for efficient and accurate long sequence multivariate time series forecasting. While recent attention-based forecasting models show strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Tung Kieu , Xuanyi Dong , Shirui Pan

Despite the notable advancements in numerous Transformer-based models, the task of long multi-horizon time series forecasting remains a persistent challenge, especially towards explainability. Focusing on commonly used saliency maps in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Nghia Duong-Trung , Duc-Manh Nguyen , Danh Le-Phuoc

We propose an efficient design of Transformer-based models for multivariate time series forecasting and self-supervised representation learning. It is based on two key components: (i) segmentation of time series into subseries-level patches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Yuqi Nie , Nam H. Nguyen , Phanwadee Sinthong , Jayant Kalagnanam

Recent advancements in attention mechanisms have replaced recurrent neural networks and its variants for machine translation tasks. Transformer using attention mechanism solely achieved state-of-the-art results in sequence modeling. Neural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Prakhar Thapak , Prodip Hore

Multi-horizon probabilistic time series forecasting has wide applicability to real-world tasks such as demand forecasting. Recent work in neural time-series forecasting mainly focus on the use of Seq2Seq architectures. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sitan Yang , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka

Although Transformer has made breakthrough success in widespread domains especially in Natural Language Processing (NLP), applying it to time series forecasting is still a great challenge. In time series forecasting, the autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Kai Chen , Guang Chen , Dan Xu , Lijun Zhang , Yuyao Huang , Alois Knoll

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Transformers have demonstrated remarkable efficacy in forecasting time series data. However, their extensive dependence on self-attention mechanisms demands significant computational resources, thereby limiting their practical applicability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Cat P. Le , Chris Cannella , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

Despite advances in the Transformer architecture, their effectiveness for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) remains controversial. In this paper, we investigate the potential of integrating explicit periodicity modeling into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tian Sun , Yuqi Chen , Weiwei Sun

Multivariate geo-sensory time series prediction is challenging because of the complex spatial and temporal correlation. In urban water distribution systems (WDS), numerous spatial-correlated sensors have been deployed to continuously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Ziqing Ma , Shuming Liu , Guancheng Guo , Xipeng Yu

Ever since their conception, Transformers have taken over traditional sequence models in many tasks, such as NLP, image classification, and video/audio processing, for their fast training and superior performance. Much of the merit is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Hongyu Hè , Marko Kabic