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A Bismut type formula is established for the extrinsic derivative of distribution dependent SDEs. The main result is illustrated by nondegenerate DDSDEs with space time singular drift, as well as degenerate DDSDEs with weakly monotone…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Panpan Ren

This document states the normal vector system for modified Hopf boundaries of delay differential systems with state and parameter dependent delays. Specifically, it states the proof for Proposition 1 in the paper entitled "Robust…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Jonas Otten , Martin Mönnigmann

The distribution-dependent stochastic differential equations (DDSDEs) describe stochastic systems whose evolution is determined by both the microcosmic site and the macrocosmic distribution of the particle. The density function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Feng-Yu Wang

The paper presents a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) scheme for continuous-time nonlinear systems based on the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). A stopping criterion in the ADMM algorithm limits the iterations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Anja Bestler , Knut Graichen

In this paper we derive non asymptotic deviation bounds for $$\P_\nu (|\frac 1t \int_0^t V(X_s) ds - \int V d\mu | \geq R)$$ where $X$ is a $\mu$ stationary and ergodic Markov process and $V$ is some $\mu$ integrable function. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrick Cattiaux , Arnaud Guillin

We introduce the Markov Distributional Conformal Prediction (MDCP) method that extends the distributional conformal prediction (previously developed for regression) to the setting of a strictly stationary Markov process. Instead of relying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Dehao Dai , Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

We extend Peng's maximum principle to the case of stochastic delay differential equations of mean-field type. More precisely, the coefficients of our control problem depend on the state, on the past trajectory and on its expected value.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Giuseppina Guatteri , Federica Masiero , Lukas Wessels

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This paper is devoted to studying the first-order variational analysis of non-convex and non-differentiable functions that may not be subdifferentially regular. To achieve this goal, we entirely rely on two concepts of directional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Ashkan Mohammadi

Integration against a probability distribution given its unnormalized density is a central task in Bayesian inference and other fields. We introduce new methods for approximating such expectations with a small set of weighted samples --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Ayoub Belhadji , Daniel Sharp , Youssef M. Marzouk

Learning a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from a fixed batch of trajectories is a non-trivial task whose outcome's quality depends on both the amount and the diversity of the sampled regions of the state-action space. Yet, many MDPs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Giorgio Angelotti , Nicolas Drougard , Caroline P. C. Chanel

We study discrete-time discounted constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) on Borel spaces with unbounded reward functions. In our approach the transition probability functions are weakly or set-wise continuous. The reward functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Eugene A. Feinberg , Anna Jaśkiewicz , Andrzej S. Nowak

The problem of estimating a parameter in the drift coefficient is addressed for $N$ discretely observed independent and identically distributed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). This is done considering additional constraints,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter , Hélène Halconruy

The purpose of this paper is to investigate moderate deviations for the Durbin-Watson statistic associated with the stable first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order autoregressive process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Frédéric Proïa

Here, we explore the problem of error propagation mitigation in modular digital twins as a sequential decision process. Building on a companion study that used a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to infer latent error regimes from surrogate-physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Annice Najafi , Shokoufeh Mirzaei

In this paper we derive a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for inhomogeneous U/V-statistics of a general order. Using this, we derive a LDP for two types of statistics: random multilinear forms, and number of monochromatic copies of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic approximation procedure $\left(X_n\right)_{n\ge 0}$ taking values in $R$. The process is adapted to a filtration $(F_n)_{n\ge 0}$ and satisfies the recursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

We establish a notion of universality for the parabolic Anderson model via an invariance principle for a wide family of parabolic stochastic partial differential equations. We then use this invariance principle in order to provide an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Davar Khoshnevisan , Kunwoo Kim , Carl Mueller

We consider risk-sensitive Markov decision processes (MDPs), where the MDP model is influenced by a parameter which takes values in a compact metric space. We identify sufficient conditions under which small perturbations in the model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Shiping Shao , Abhishek Gupta , William B. Haskell