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The term "moderate deviations" is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

As an important tool characterizing the long time behavior of Markov processes, the Donsker-Varadhan LDP (large deviation principle) does not directly apply to distribution dependent SDEs/SPDEs since the solutions are non-Markovian. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang

We prove a large deviation principle for stochastic differential equations driven by semimartingales, with additive controls. Conditions are given in terms of characteristics of driven semimartingales, so that if the noise-control pairs…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Qiao Huang , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

Delay Differential Equations (DDEs) are a class of differential equations that can model diverse scientific phenomena. However, identifying the parameters, especially the time delay, that make a DDE's predictions match experimental results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Robert Stephany

This work concerns the exponential stabilization of underactuated linear homogeneous systems of m parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) in cascade (reaction-diffusion systems), where only the first state is controlled either…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Constantinos Kitsos , Emilia Fridman

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

In this paper, we present sufficient conditions and criteria to establish general large and moderate deviation principles for multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs in short) by means of the weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Lingyan Cheng , Wei Liu , Huijie Qiao , Fengwu Zhu

Large and moderate deviation principles are proved for Engel continued fractions, a new type of continued fraction expansion with non-decreasing partial quotients in number theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Lulu Fang , Lei Shang

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Li Xia

We consider a system of stochastic interacting particles in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and we describe large deviations asymptotics in a joint mean-field and small-noise limit. Precisely, a large deviations principle (LDP) is established for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Carlo Orrieri

In this paper, we establish a moderate deviation principle for an abstract nonlinear equation forced by random noise of L\'evy type. This type of equation covers many hydrodynamical models, including stochastic 2D Navier-Stokes equations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Yue Li , Shijie Shang

We extend the spectral method for proving limit theorems to random non-uniformly expanding dynamical systems. This yields the CLT and moderate deviations principles (MDP). We show that as the amount of non-uniformity decreases the CLT rates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Yeor Hafouta

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

This paper is devoted to proving the small noise asymptotic behaviour, particularly large deviation principle, for multi-scale stochastic dynamical systems with fully local monotone coefficients driven by multiplicative noise. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Wei Hong , Wei Liu , Luhan Yang

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

Dynamical system models with delayed dynamics and small noise arise in a variety of applications in science and engineering. In many applications, stable equilibrium or periodic behavior is critical to a well functioning system. Sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 David Lipshutz

We consider the damped nonlinear wave (NLW) equation driven by a spatially regular white noise. Assuming that the noise is non-degenerate in all Fourier modes, we establish a large deviations principle (LDP) for the occupation measures of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Davit Martirosyan , Vahagn Nersesyan

We prove the the large deviation principle(LDP) for the law of the one-dimensional semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by nonlinear multiplicative noise. Firstly, combining the energy estimate and approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Qiyong Cao , Hongjun Gao

A moderate deviations principle for the law of a stochastic Burgers equation is proved via the weak convergence approach. In addition, some useful estimates toward a central limit theorem are established.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Rachid Belfadli , Lahcen Boulanba , Mohamed Mellouk